Eduardo Braide, the PSD pre-candidate and former São Luís mayor, holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing him at 50% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (23%) and Felipe Camarão (14%). Traders assign him an 81% implied probability of victory, reflecting his established voter base in the state capital, party infrastructure, and consistent leads across credible surveys that point toward a possible first-round win. Lower odds for Brandão (10%) and others stem from weaker polling performance and limited momentum in coalition-building efforts ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. No major late shifts have altered this positioning in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Eduardo Braide 84%
Orleans Brandão 10%
Lahesio Bonfim 4.3%
André Luís 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
84%
Orleans Brandão
10%
Lahesio Bonfim
4%
André Luís
3%
Felipe Camarão
3%
Enilton Rodrigues
2%
Eduardo Braide 84%
Orleans Brandão 10%
Lahesio Bonfim 4.3%
André Luís 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
$1,781 Vol.
84%
Orleans Brandão
$416 Vol.
10%
Lahesio Bonfim
$307 Vol.
4%
André Luís
$452 Vol.
3%
Felipe Camarão
$262 Vol.
3%
Enilton Rodrigues
$578 Vol.
2%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide, the PSD pre-candidate and former São Luís mayor, holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing him at 50% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (23%) and Felipe Camarão (14%). Traders assign him an 81% implied probability of victory, reflecting his established voter base in the state capital, party infrastructure, and consistent leads across credible surveys that point toward a possible first-round win. Lower odds for Brandão (10%) and others stem from weaker polling performance and limited momentum in coalition-building efforts ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. No major late shifts have altered this positioning in the past month.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volumen
$3,796Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide, the PSD pre-candidate and former São Luís mayor, holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing him at 50% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (23%) and Felipe Camarão (14%). Traders assign him an 81% implied probability of victory, reflecting his established voter base in the state capital, party infrastructure, and consistent leads across credible surveys that point toward a possible first-round win. Lower odds for Brandão (10%) and others stem from weaker polling performance and limited momentum in coalition-building efforts ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. No major late shifts have altered this positioning in the past month.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,796Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide, the PSD pre-candidate and former São Luís mayor, holds the strongest position in the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with recent AtlasIntel polling showing him at 50% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (23%) and Felipe Camarão (14%). Traders assign him an 81% implied probability of victory, reflecting his established voter base in the state capital, party infrastructure, and consistent leads across credible surveys that point toward a possible first-round win. Lower odds for Brandão (10%) and others stem from weaker polling performance and limited momentum in coalition-building efforts ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. No major late shifts have altered this positioning in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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