This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Gov. Janet Mills' suspension of her U.S. Senate campaign two days ago has solidified Graham Platner's commanding position as the presumptive Democratic primary winner on June 9, driving his trader consensus to near-certainty amid minimal remaining opposition.** Pre-dropout polls showed Platner, a combat veteran and oyster farmer, leading Mills by double digits through strong grassroots momentum, fundraising superiority, and endorsements from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, while outpacing other long-shot contenders like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden. With the field effectively cleared and Platner withdrawing from debates, markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction in his nomination path. Late-breaking scenarios like a high-profile entrant or write-in surge could theoretically shift odds, though procedural deadlines and timing make them improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
**Gov. Janet Mills' suspension of her U.S. Senate campaign two days ago has solidified Graham Platner's commanding position as the presumptive Democratic primary winner on June 9, driving his trader consensus to near-certainty amid minimal remaining opposition.** Pre-dropout polls showed Platner, a combat veteran and oyster farmer, leading Mills by double digits through strong grassroots momentum, fundraising superiority, and endorsements from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, while outpacing other long-shot contenders like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden. With the field effectively cleared and Platner withdrawing from debates, markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction in his nomination path. Late-breaking scenarios like a high-profile entrant or write-in surge could theoretically shift odds, though procedural deadlines and timing make them improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Janet Mills suspends her gubernatorial campaign to focus on the Senate race, further consolidating the Democratic field without Golden and confirming his non-candidacy
Janet Mills suspends her gubernatorial campaign to focus on the Senate race, further consolidating the Democratic field without Golden and confirming his non-candidacy
Apr 25 2026
Polls continue to show Platner with a substantial lead over Mills, with Mills’ campaign momentum fading and supporters acknowledging the uphill battle to overcome Platner’s
Janet Mills drops to 0%9%
Polls continue to show Platner with a substantial lead over Mills, with Mills’ campaign momentum fading and supporters acknowledging the uphill battle to overcome Platner’s grassroots surge
Apr 18 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine, bolstering Platner’s progressive credentials and signaling strong establishment support for Platner
Janet Mills drops to 0%9%
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine, bolstering Platner’s progressive credentials and signaling strong establishment support for Platner over Mills, further diminishing Mills’ chances
Apr 18 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Warren's high-profile endorsement boosted Platner's credibility and polling lead, significantly increasing market confidence in his nomination.
Apr 1 2026
Susan Collins pledges potential retirement after sixth term, intensifying Democratic interest in the primary
Graham Platner surges to 92%16%
Collins' announcement raised stakes for the Democratic primary, increasing attention and support for Platner as a strong challenger to Collins.
Mar 10 2026
Mills launches a negative ad campaign targeting Platner’s controversial Reddit history and tattoo, aiming to weaken his support by highlighting disqualifying past remarks, but the
Janet Mills dips to 24%3%
Mills launches a negative ad campaign targeting Platner’s controversial Reddit history and tattoo, aiming to weaken his support by highlighting disqualifying past remarks, but the ads have limited immediate effect on shifting voter sentiment
Mar 9 2026
Wood submits qualifying signatures for the 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race and solidifying his absence from the Senate primary
Wood submits qualifying signatures for the 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race and solidifying his absence from the Senate primary ballot
Feb 27 2026
Democratic primary preview highlights other candidates like Janet Mills and Graham Platner gaining traction in the Senate race, confirming Golden's absence and solidifying market
Democratic primary preview highlights other candidates like Janet Mills and Graham Platner gaining traction in the Senate race, confirming Golden's absence and solidifying market expectations against him
Feb 26 2026
Platner resumes active campaigning with town halls, maintaining lead over Mills in polls
Graham Platner jumps to 78%11%
Platner's re-engagement energized supporters and solidified his position as the progressive front-runner.
Feb 1 2026
In a CNN interview, Mills addresses concerns about her age and compares herself to Joe Biden, asserting her health and capability, but age remains a point of contention among
Janet Mills drops to 25%9%
In a CNN interview, Mills addresses concerns about her age and compares herself to Joe Biden, asserting her health and capability, but age remains a point of contention among Democratic voters, limiting her appeal
Jan 26 2026
Dan Kleban comments on Governor Mills' toughness and potential to appeal to voters amid ICE enforcement controversies, reflecting his continued support for Mills despite no longer
Dan Kleban comments on Governor Mills' toughness and potential to appeal to voters amid ICE enforcement controversies, reflecting his continued support for Mills despite no longer running
Jan 7 2026
Governor Mills declines to veto a bill making Maine a de facto sanctuary state, drawing criticism from Republicans and conservative groups, which may have affected her standing
Janet Mills drops to 34%5%
Governor Mills declines to veto a bill making Maine a de facto sanctuary state, drawing criticism from Republicans and conservative groups, which may have affected her standing among moderate voters ahead of the primary
Nov 14 2025
Emerson College poll confirms Platner’s commanding lead over Mills by 27 points, reinforcing the narrative of Platner’s insurgent campaign outpacing the establishment-backed Mills
Janet Mills drops to 30%6%
Emerson College poll confirms Platner’s commanding lead over Mills by 27 points, reinforcing the narrative of Platner’s insurgent campaign outpacing the establishment-backed Mills despite her statewide experience
Nov 12 2025
Jordan Wood officially drops out of the Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat following Jared Golden’s retirement announcement, effectively ending his
Jordan Wood dips to 0%1%
Jordan Wood officially drops out of the Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat following Jared Golden’s retirement announcement, effectively ending his Senate bid and causing the market
Nov 12 2025
Jordan Wood, who had been running for Senate, switches to run for the open 2nd Congressional District seat after Golden's retirement announcement, signaling Golden's exit from the
Jordan Wood, who had been running for Senate, switches to run for the open 2nd Congressional District seat after Golden's retirement announcement, signaling Golden's exit from the Senate race
Nov 5 2025
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re-election in 2026, citing frustration with political incivility, effectively ending his Senate bid and causing a sharp
Jared Golden drops to 0%12%
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re-election in 2026, citing frustration with political incivility, effectively ending his Senate bid and causing a sharp
Nov 3 2025
Polls show a tightening race but Platner remains competitive against Mills and incumbent Collins
Graham Platner jumps to 64%9%
Despite controversies, Platner's continued polling strength and campaign activity helped regain market confidence.
Oct 22 2025
Platner reveals he covered up a tattoo resembling a Nazi symbol, apologizing for past social media posts
Graham Platner drops to 44%11%
This revelation caused a market dip due to concerns about the controversy's impact, but Platner's apology and resilience limited the damage.
Oct 20 2025
Reports emerge that Platner covered up a tattoo resembling a Nazi symbol and apologized for past social media posts, but his campaign maintains momentum with large crowds and
Janet Mills drops to 43%12%
Reports emerge that Platner covered up a tattoo resembling a Nazi symbol and apologized for past social media posts, but his campaign maintains momentum with large crowds and continued polling leads, complicating Mills’ path to regain support
Oct 16 2025
University of New Hampshire poll shows Platner leading Mills by 34 points despite controversies over past inflammatory posts and a tattoo
Graham Platner jumps to 55%11%
Polling confirmed Platner's strong lead even amid negative headlines, reinforcing market confidence in his viability.
Oct 16 2025
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Janet Mills by 34 points in the Democratic primary despite controversies over Platner’s past inflammatory online
Janet Mills surges to 55%20%
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Janet Mills by 34 points in the Democratic primary despite controversies over Platner’s past inflammatory online posts and a Nazi-symbol tattoo, highlighting Platner’s strong grassroots support and challenging Mills’ frontrunner status
Oct 15 2025
Coverage highlights Kleban's withdrawal and endorsement of Mills, noting the impact of Mills' entry shaking up the crowded Democratic primary field
Dan Kleban dips to 0%2%
Coverage highlights Kleban's withdrawal and endorsement of Mills, noting the impact of Mills' entry shaking up the crowded Democratic primary field
Oct 14 2025
Maine Governor Janet Mills enters Senate race, raising $1 million in 24 hours
Graham Platner dips to 44%1%
Mills' entry as an establishment-backed candidate with strong fundraising briefly tempered Platner's momentum, causing a slight dip in his market.
Oct 14 2025
Dan Kleban suspends Senate campaign and endorses Gov.
Dan Kleban drops to 2%12%
Janet Mills following her official entry into the race, signaling consolidation of Democratic support around Mills
Sep 18 2025
Early polling and campaign developments show Wood losing ground amid a crowded field and stronger contenders emerging, leading to a sharp market drop from 50% to 4%
Jordan Wood plunges to 4%46%
Early polling and campaign developments show Wood losing ground amid a crowded field and stronger contenders emerging, leading to a sharp market drop from 50% to 4%
Sep 15 2025
Jared Golden initially considered running for the U.S.
Senate in 2026, maintaining a roughly 50% market
Sep 15 2025
Janet Mills announces her candidacy for the 2026 U.S.
Janet Mills dips to 47%3%
Senate race in Maine, entering as the establishment favorite backed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, raising $1 million in the first 24 hours and signaling a high-profile campaign to unseat Republican Susan Collins
Sep 15 2025
Dan Kleban launches Senate campaign emphasizing outsider message and cost-of-living issues
Dan Kleban launches Senate campaign emphasizing outsider message and cost-of-living issues
Aug 19 2025
Graham Platner announces Senate campaign as a progressive outsider challenging establishment candidates
Graham Platner jumps to 41%7%
Platner launched his campaign emphasizing populist themes and grassroots support, quickly gaining attention as a credible challenger in the Maine Democratic primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Gov. Janet Mills' suspension of her U.S. Senate campaign two days ago has solidified Graham Platner's commanding position as the presumptive Democratic primary winner on June 9, driving his trader consensus to near-certainty amid minimal remaining opposition.** Pre-dropout polls showed Platner, a combat veteran and oyster farmer, leading Mills by double digits through strong grassroots momentum, fundraising superiority, and endorsements from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, while outpacing other long-shot contenders like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden. With the field effectively cleared and Platner withdrawing from debates, markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction in his nomination path. Late-breaking scenarios like a high-profile entrant or write-in surge could theoretically shift odds, though procedural deadlines and timing make them improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
**Gov. Janet Mills' suspension of her U.S. Senate campaign two days ago has solidified Graham Platner's commanding position as the presumptive Democratic primary winner on June 9, driving his trader consensus to near-certainty amid minimal remaining opposition.** Pre-dropout polls showed Platner, a combat veteran and oyster farmer, leading Mills by double digits through strong grassroots momentum, fundraising superiority, and endorsements from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, while outpacing other long-shot contenders like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden. With the field effectively cleared and Platner withdrawing from debates, markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction in his nomination path. Late-breaking scenarios like a high-profile entrant or write-in surge could theoretically shift odds, though procedural deadlines and timing make them improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Janet Mills suspends her gubernatorial campaign to focus on the Senate race, further consolidating the Democratic field without Golden and confirming his non-candidacy
Janet Mills suspends her gubernatorial campaign to focus on the Senate race, further consolidating the Democratic field without Golden and confirming his non-candidacy
Apr 25 2026
Polls continue to show Platner with a substantial lead over Mills, with Mills’ campaign momentum fading and supporters acknowledging the uphill battle to overcome Platner’s
Janet Mills drops to 0%9%
Polls continue to show Platner with a substantial lead over Mills, with Mills’ campaign momentum fading and supporters acknowledging the uphill battle to overcome Platner’s grassroots surge
Apr 18 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine, bolstering Platner’s progressive credentials and signaling strong establishment support for Platner
Janet Mills drops to 0%9%
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine, bolstering Platner’s progressive credentials and signaling strong establishment support for Platner over Mills, further diminishing Mills’ chances
Apr 18 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Warren's high-profile endorsement boosted Platner's credibility and polling lead, significantly increasing market confidence in his nomination.
Apr 1 2026
Susan Collins pledges potential retirement after sixth term, intensifying Democratic interest in the primary
Graham Platner surges to 92%16%
Collins' announcement raised stakes for the Democratic primary, increasing attention and support for Platner as a strong challenger to Collins.
Mar 10 2026
Mills launches a negative ad campaign targeting Platner’s controversial Reddit history and tattoo, aiming to weaken his support by highlighting disqualifying past remarks, but the
Janet Mills dips to 24%3%
Mills launches a negative ad campaign targeting Platner’s controversial Reddit history and tattoo, aiming to weaken his support by highlighting disqualifying past remarks, but the ads have limited immediate effect on shifting voter sentiment
Mar 9 2026
Wood submits qualifying signatures for the 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race and solidifying his absence from the Senate primary
Wood submits qualifying signatures for the 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race and solidifying his absence from the Senate primary ballot
Feb 27 2026
Democratic primary preview highlights other candidates like Janet Mills and Graham Platner gaining traction in the Senate race, confirming Golden's absence and solidifying market
Democratic primary preview highlights other candidates like Janet Mills and Graham Platner gaining traction in the Senate race, confirming Golden's absence and solidifying market expectations against him
Feb 26 2026
Platner resumes active campaigning with town halls, maintaining lead over Mills in polls
Graham Platner jumps to 78%11%
Platner's re-engagement energized supporters and solidified his position as the progressive front-runner.
Feb 1 2026
In a CNN interview, Mills addresses concerns about her age and compares herself to Joe Biden, asserting her health and capability, but age remains a point of contention among
Janet Mills drops to 25%9%
In a CNN interview, Mills addresses concerns about her age and compares herself to Joe Biden, asserting her health and capability, but age remains a point of contention among Democratic voters, limiting her appeal
Jan 26 2026
Dan Kleban comments on Governor Mills' toughness and potential to appeal to voters amid ICE enforcement controversies, reflecting his continued support for Mills despite no longer
Dan Kleban comments on Governor Mills' toughness and potential to appeal to voters amid ICE enforcement controversies, reflecting his continued support for Mills despite no longer running
Jan 7 2026
Governor Mills declines to veto a bill making Maine a de facto sanctuary state, drawing criticism from Republicans and conservative groups, which may have affected her standing
Janet Mills drops to 34%5%
Governor Mills declines to veto a bill making Maine a de facto sanctuary state, drawing criticism from Republicans and conservative groups, which may have affected her standing among moderate voters ahead of the primary
Nov 14 2025
Emerson College poll confirms Platner’s commanding lead over Mills by 27 points, reinforcing the narrative of Platner’s insurgent campaign outpacing the establishment-backed Mills
Janet Mills drops to 30%6%
Emerson College poll confirms Platner’s commanding lead over Mills by 27 points, reinforcing the narrative of Platner’s insurgent campaign outpacing the establishment-backed Mills despite her statewide experience
Nov 12 2025
Jordan Wood officially drops out of the Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat following Jared Golden’s retirement announcement, effectively ending his
Jordan Wood dips to 0%1%
Jordan Wood officially drops out of the Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat following Jared Golden’s retirement announcement, effectively ending his Senate bid and causing the market
Nov 12 2025
Jordan Wood, who had been running for Senate, switches to run for the open 2nd Congressional District seat after Golden's retirement announcement, signaling Golden's exit from the
Jordan Wood, who had been running for Senate, switches to run for the open 2nd Congressional District seat after Golden's retirement announcement, signaling Golden's exit from the Senate race
Nov 5 2025
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re-election in 2026, citing frustration with political incivility, effectively ending his Senate bid and causing a sharp
Jared Golden drops to 0%12%
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re-election in 2026, citing frustration with political incivility, effectively ending his Senate bid and causing a sharp
Nov 3 2025
Polls show a tightening race but Platner remains competitive against Mills and incumbent Collins
Graham Platner jumps to 64%9%
Despite controversies, Platner's continued polling strength and campaign activity helped regain market confidence.
Oct 22 2025
Platner reveals he covered up a tattoo resembling a Nazi symbol, apologizing for past social media posts
Graham Platner drops to 44%11%
This revelation caused a market dip due to concerns about the controversy's impact, but Platner's apology and resilience limited the damage.
Oct 20 2025
Reports emerge that Platner covered up a tattoo resembling a Nazi symbol and apologized for past social media posts, but his campaign maintains momentum with large crowds and
Janet Mills drops to 43%12%
Reports emerge that Platner covered up a tattoo resembling a Nazi symbol and apologized for past social media posts, but his campaign maintains momentum with large crowds and continued polling leads, complicating Mills’ path to regain support
Oct 16 2025
University of New Hampshire poll shows Platner leading Mills by 34 points despite controversies over past inflammatory posts and a tattoo
Graham Platner jumps to 55%11%
Polling confirmed Platner's strong lead even amid negative headlines, reinforcing market confidence in his viability.
Oct 16 2025
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Janet Mills by 34 points in the Democratic primary despite controversies over Platner’s past inflammatory online
Janet Mills surges to 55%20%
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Janet Mills by 34 points in the Democratic primary despite controversies over Platner’s past inflammatory online posts and a Nazi-symbol tattoo, highlighting Platner’s strong grassroots support and challenging Mills’ frontrunner status
Oct 15 2025
Coverage highlights Kleban's withdrawal and endorsement of Mills, noting the impact of Mills' entry shaking up the crowded Democratic primary field
Dan Kleban dips to 0%2%
Coverage highlights Kleban's withdrawal and endorsement of Mills, noting the impact of Mills' entry shaking up the crowded Democratic primary field
Oct 14 2025
Maine Governor Janet Mills enters Senate race, raising $1 million in 24 hours
Graham Platner dips to 44%1%
Mills' entry as an establishment-backed candidate with strong fundraising briefly tempered Platner's momentum, causing a slight dip in his market.
Oct 14 2025
Dan Kleban suspends Senate campaign and endorses Gov.
Dan Kleban drops to 2%12%
Janet Mills following her official entry into the race, signaling consolidation of Democratic support around Mills
Sep 18 2025
Early polling and campaign developments show Wood losing ground amid a crowded field and stronger contenders emerging, leading to a sharp market drop from 50% to 4%
Jordan Wood plunges to 4%46%
Early polling and campaign developments show Wood losing ground amid a crowded field and stronger contenders emerging, leading to a sharp market drop from 50% to 4%
Sep 15 2025
Jared Golden initially considered running for the U.S.
Senate in 2026, maintaining a roughly 50% market
Sep 15 2025
Janet Mills announces her candidacy for the 2026 U.S.
Janet Mills dips to 47%3%
Senate race in Maine, entering as the establishment favorite backed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, raising $1 million in the first 24 hours and signaling a high-profile campaign to unseat Republican Susan Collins
Sep 15 2025
Dan Kleban launches Senate campaign emphasizing outsider message and cost-of-living issues
Dan Kleban launches Senate campaign emphasizing outsider message and cost-of-living issues
Aug 19 2025
Graham Platner announces Senate campaign as a progressive outsider challenging establishment candidates
Graham Platner jumps to 41%7%
Platner launched his campaign emphasizing populist themes and grassroots support, quickly gaining attention as a credible challenger in the Maine Democratic primary.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" con 99%, seguido de "Janet Mills" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" ha generado $2.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" es "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Janet Mills" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $2.8 million operados en “Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 99¢ para "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" en el mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 99% de que "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 99¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 1¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Jun 9, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" tiene una comunidad activa de 36 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes