Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 5 posts (98.6%) from Iran's Supreme Leader's official X account (@khamenei_ir) between April 24, 12:00 PM ET, and May 1, 12:00 PM ET, reflecting zero posts recorded to date amid the account's longstanding pattern of infrequent activity—typically limited to major official statements or speeches released weeks apart. This positioning stems from no verifiable announcements, diplomatic developments, or military escalations in the past week prompting updates, despite broader regional tensions including the reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei earlier in 2026 and statements attributed to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via other channels. With the resolution window closing imminently, only a sudden flurry of posts—triggered by unforeseen crises like ceasefire talks or airstrikes—could challenge this outcome, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given historical precedents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Khamenei # publica del 24 de abril al 1 de mayo de 2026?
¿Khamenei # publica del 24 de abril al 1 de mayo de 2026?
<5 99.0%
5-9 1.5%
35-39 1.3%
20-24 1.1%
$19,127 Vol.
$19,127 Vol.
1 may 2026
<5
99%
5-9
1%
10-14
1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 99.0%
5-9 1.5%
35-39 1.3%
20-24 1.1%
$19,127 Vol.
$19,127 Vol.
1 may 2026
<5
$9,216 Vol.
99%
5-9
$634 Vol.
1%
10-14
$1,036 Vol.
1%
15-19
$2,091 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$738 Vol.
1%
25-29
$726 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$550 Vol.
1%
35-39
$1,140 Vol.
1%
40-44
$415 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$396 Vol.
1%
50-54
$373 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$982 Vol.
<1%
60+
$832 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 5 posts (98.6%) from Iran's Supreme Leader's official X account (@khamenei_ir) between April 24, 12:00 PM ET, and May 1, 12:00 PM ET, reflecting zero posts recorded to date amid the account's longstanding pattern of infrequent activity—typically limited to major official statements or speeches released weeks apart. This positioning stems from no verifiable announcements, diplomatic developments, or military escalations in the past week prompting updates, despite broader regional tensions including the reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei earlier in 2026 and statements attributed to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via other channels. With the resolution window closing imminently, only a sudden flurry of posts—triggered by unforeseen crises like ceasefire talks or airstrikes—could challenge this outcome, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given historical precedents.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$19,127Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 5 posts (98.6%) from Iran's Supreme Leader's official X account (@khamenei_ir) between April 24, 12:00 PM ET, and May 1, 12:00 PM ET, reflecting zero posts recorded to date amid the account's longstanding pattern of infrequent activity—typically limited to major official statements or speeches released weeks apart. This positioning stems from no verifiable announcements, diplomatic developments, or military escalations in the past week prompting updates, despite broader regional tensions including the reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei earlier in 2026 and statements attributed to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via other channels. With the resolution window closing imminently, only a sudden flurry of posts—triggered by unforeseen crises like ceasefire talks or airstrikes—could challenge this outcome, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given historical precedents.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$19,127Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 5 posts (98.6%) from Iran's Supreme Leader's official X account (@khamenei_ir) between April 24, 12:00 PM ET, and May 1, 12:00 PM ET, reflecting zero posts recorded to date amid the account's longstanding pattern of infrequent activity—typically limited to major official statements or speeches released weeks apart. This positioning stems from no verifiable announcements, diplomatic developments, or military escalations in the past week prompting updates, despite broader regional tensions including the reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei earlier in 2026 and statements attributed to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via other channels. With the resolution window closing imminently, only a sudden flurry of posts—triggered by unforeseen crises like ceasefire talks or airstrikes—could challenge this outcome, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given historical precedents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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