Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKhamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?
15-19 21%
10-14 16%
40-44 5%
20-24 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
<5
36%
5-9
42%
10-14
16%
15-19
21%
20-24
12%
25-29
12%
30-34
10%
35-39
7%
40-44
5%
45-49
3%
50-54
3%
55-59
2%
60+
2%
15-19 21%
10-14 16%
40-44 5%
20-24 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
<5
$40 Vol.
36%
5-9
$5 Vol.
42%
10-14
$0 Vol.
16%
15-19
$0 Vol.
21%
20-24
$80 Vol.
12%
25-29
$80 Vol.
12%
30-34
$120 Vol.
10%
35-39
$113 Vol.
7%
40-44
$113 Vol.
5%
45-49
$120 Vol.
3%
50-54
$113 Vol.
3%
55-59
$130 Vol.
2%
60+
$255 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volumen
$1,170Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,170Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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