Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account's posts from April 28 to May 5 remains tightly contested, with 20-24 posts (34.1%), 15-19 (30.0%), and 5-9 (30.0%) leading as traders weigh recent inactivity against historical patterns. Zero posts last week (April 21-28) and sparse early April output—five in the first week, then near-silence—bolster low-end odds amid the Supreme Leader's reported martyrdom and ongoing Middle East escalations, including US-Israel military actions and Resistance responses. Higher bins reflect March's busier pace of 10+ archival statements repurposed for current events like anti-Zionist rhetoric. A surge in Iran-related diplomacy, airstrikes, or Nowruz aftermath commemorations could push toward 20+, while prolonged leadership transition under new figures like Mojtaba Khamenei might sustain minimal activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKhamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
<5 50%
20-24 33.7%
15-19 29.5%
5-9 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
<5
28%
5-9
29%
10-14
22%
15-19
30%
20-24
34%
25-29
3%
30-34
2%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
2%
50-54
1%
55-59
2%
60+
3%
<5 50%
20-24 33.7%
15-19 29.5%
5-9 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
<5
$406 Vol.
28%
5-9
$54 Vol.
29%
10-14
$88 Vol.
22%
15-19
$24 Vol.
30%
20-24
$24 Vol.
34%
25-29
$81 Vol.
3%
30-34
$73 Vol.
2%
35-39
$64 Vol.
3%
40-44
$188 Vol.
1%
45-49
$123 Vol.
2%
50-54
$90 Vol.
1%
55-59
$90 Vol.
2%
60+
$543 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account's posts from April 28 to May 5 remains tightly contested, with 20-24 posts (34.1%), 15-19 (30.0%), and 5-9 (30.0%) leading as traders weigh recent inactivity against historical patterns. Zero posts last week (April 21-28) and sparse early April output—five in the first week, then near-silence—bolster low-end odds amid the Supreme Leader's reported martyrdom and ongoing Middle East escalations, including US-Israel military actions and Resistance responses. Higher bins reflect March's busier pace of 10+ archival statements repurposed for current events like anti-Zionist rhetoric. A surge in Iran-related diplomacy, airstrikes, or Nowruz aftermath commemorations could push toward 20+, while prolonged leadership transition under new figures like Mojtaba Khamenei might sustain minimal activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,848Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account's posts from April 28 to May 5 remains tightly contested, with 20-24 posts (34.1%), 15-19 (30.0%), and 5-9 (30.0%) leading as traders weigh recent inactivity against historical patterns. Zero posts last week (April 21-28) and sparse early April output—five in the first week, then near-silence—bolster low-end odds amid the Supreme Leader's reported martyrdom and ongoing Middle East escalations, including US-Israel military actions and Resistance responses. Higher bins reflect March's busier pace of 10+ archival statements repurposed for current events like anti-Zionist rhetoric. A surge in Iran-related diplomacy, airstrikes, or Nowruz aftermath commemorations could push toward 20+, while prolonged leadership transition under new figures like Mojtaba Khamenei might sustain minimal activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,848Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account's posts from April 28 to May 5 remains tightly contested, with 20-24 posts (34.1%), 15-19 (30.0%), and 5-9 (30.0%) leading as traders weigh recent inactivity against historical patterns. Zero posts last week (April 21-28) and sparse early April output—five in the first week, then near-silence—bolster low-end odds amid the Supreme Leader's reported martyrdom and ongoing Middle East escalations, including US-Israel military actions and Resistance responses. Higher bins reflect March's busier pace of 10+ archival statements repurposed for current events like anti-Zionist rhetoric. A surge in Iran-related diplomacy, airstrikes, or Nowruz aftermath commemorations could push toward 20+, while prolonged leadership transition under new figures like Mojtaba Khamenei might sustain minimal activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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