Trader consensus prices under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account at 46% for April 24-May 1, driven by zero activity through April 30—the latest post was April 13 sharing an archival statement—reflecting a sharp decline since Iranian state media confirmed the Supreme Leader's death in a March US-Israeli airstrike. The account bio now designates him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," with sporadic reposts of past remarks amid the transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, who maintains a separate X profile. Ongoing regional tensions and institutional caution during leadership changes explain the low volume, positioning higher brackets like 15-19 at just 10.8% despite prior weekly variability. The May 1 deadline offers limited window for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Khamenei # publica del 24 de abril al 1 de mayo de 2026?
¿Khamenei # publica del 24 de abril al 1 de mayo de 2026?
<5 55%
10-14 12%
5-9 10.2%
15-19 2.3%
$15,055 Vol.
$15,055 Vol.
1 may 2026
<5
55%
5-9
11%
10-14
11%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 55%
10-14 12%
5-9 10.2%
15-19 2.3%
$15,055 Vol.
$15,055 Vol.
1 may 2026
<5
$6,431 Vol.
55%
5-9
$555 Vol.
11%
10-14
$599 Vol.
11%
15-19
$1,637 Vol.
2%
20-24
$663 Vol.
1%
25-29
$494 Vol.
1%
30-34
$401 Vol.
1%
35-39
$798 Vol.
1%
40-44
$471 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$437 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$384 Vol.
1%
55-59
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
60+
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account at 46% for April 24-May 1, driven by zero activity through April 30—the latest post was April 13 sharing an archival statement—reflecting a sharp decline since Iranian state media confirmed the Supreme Leader's death in a March US-Israeli airstrike. The account bio now designates him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," with sporadic reposts of past remarks amid the transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, who maintains a separate X profile. Ongoing regional tensions and institutional caution during leadership changes explain the low volume, positioning higher brackets like 15-19 at just 10.8% despite prior weekly variability. The May 1 deadline offers limited window for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$15,055Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account at 46% for April 24-May 1, driven by zero activity through April 30—the latest post was April 13 sharing an archival statement—reflecting a sharp decline since Iranian state media confirmed the Supreme Leader's death in a March US-Israeli airstrike. The account bio now designates him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," with sporadic reposts of past remarks amid the transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, who maintains a separate X profile. Ongoing regional tensions and institutional caution during leadership changes explain the low volume, positioning higher brackets like 15-19 at just 10.8% despite prior weekly variability. The May 1 deadline offers limited window for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$15,055Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's @khamenei_ir account at 46% for April 24-May 1, driven by zero activity through April 30—the latest post was April 13 sharing an archival statement—reflecting a sharp decline since Iranian state media confirmed the Supreme Leader's death in a March US-Israeli airstrike. The account bio now designates him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," with sporadic reposts of past remarks amid the transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, who maintains a separate X profile. Ongoing regional tensions and institutional caution during leadership changes explain the low volume, positioning higher brackets like 15-19 at just 10.8% despite prior weekly variability. The May 1 deadline offers limited window for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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