Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 24–May 1 at 94%, reflecting the account's longstanding dormancy, with no activity since November 2022 despite ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and US sanctions. This sparse posting pattern persisted after Khamenei's reported martyrdom and March 2026 succession by son Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, whose statements appear on separate accounts amid low @khamenei_ir output in prior weeks. No major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or domestic crises triggered posts in the past 7 days, and with the resolution window closing May 1 at 12:00 PM ET, traders see negligible upside risk. A late-breaking event like airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or leadership transition updates could prompt a post surge, though historical base rates make this unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Khamenei # publica del 24 de abril al 1 de mayo de 2026?
¿Khamenei # publica del 24 de abril al 1 de mayo de 2026?
<5 93%
25-29 4.8%
5-9 4.3%
10-14 3.1%
$13,741 Vol.
$13,741 Vol.
1 may 2026
<5
93%
5-9
4%
10-14
3%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
5%
30-34
1%
35-39
2%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 93%
25-29 4.8%
5-9 4.3%
10-14 3.1%
$13,741 Vol.
$13,741 Vol.
1 may 2026
<5
$6,626 Vol.
93%
5-9
$489 Vol.
4%
10-14
$829 Vol.
3%
15-19
$1,260 Vol.
3%
20-24
$460 Vol.
1%
25-29
$432 Vol.
5%
30-34
$351 Vol.
1%
35-39
$523 Vol.
2%
40-44
$323 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$360 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$354 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$923 Vol.
<1%
60+
$821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 24–May 1 at 94%, reflecting the account's longstanding dormancy, with no activity since November 2022 despite ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and US sanctions. This sparse posting pattern persisted after Khamenei's reported martyrdom and March 2026 succession by son Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, whose statements appear on separate accounts amid low @khamenei_ir output in prior weeks. No major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or domestic crises triggered posts in the past 7 days, and with the resolution window closing May 1 at 12:00 PM ET, traders see negligible upside risk. A late-breaking event like airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or leadership transition updates could prompt a post surge, though historical base rates make this unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$13,741Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 24–May 1 at 94%, reflecting the account's longstanding dormancy, with no activity since November 2022 despite ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and US sanctions. This sparse posting pattern persisted after Khamenei's reported martyrdom and March 2026 succession by son Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, whose statements appear on separate accounts amid low @khamenei_ir output in prior weeks. No major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or domestic crises triggered posts in the past 7 days, and with the resolution window closing May 1 at 12:00 PM ET, traders see negligible upside risk. A late-breaking event like airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or leadership transition updates could prompt a post surge, though historical base rates make this unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$13,741Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 24–May 1 at 94%, reflecting the account's longstanding dormancy, with no activity since November 2022 despite ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and US sanctions. This sparse posting pattern persisted after Khamenei's reported martyrdom and March 2026 succession by son Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, whose statements appear on separate accounts amid low @khamenei_ir output in prior weeks. No major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or domestic crises triggered posts in the past 7 days, and with the resolution window closing May 1 at 12:00 PM ET, traders see negligible upside risk. A late-breaking event like airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or leadership transition updates could prompt a post surge, though historical base rates make this unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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