Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, producing the current trader consensus around that total. Confirmed departures include Mitch McConnell, Thom Tillis, Joni Ernst, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, Tommy Tuberville, and Alan Armstrong, with announcements spanning September 2025 through March 2026. No additional Republican senators have signaled retirement since the most recent of those statements, and trackers such as Ballotpedia show the count holding steady at seven out of eleven total Senate retirements. With primary filing deadlines still ahead in several states and the general election months away, markets assign lower probability to further exits while pricing in the possibility that one or two more could emerge before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos senadores republicanos no se postularán en 2026?
¿Cuántos senadores republicanos no se postularán en 2026?
7 61%
8 14.6%
11 11.8%
6 6.7%
$77,264 Vol.
$77,264 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<5
2%
5
6%
6
7%
7
61%
8
11%
9
1%
10
3%
11
12%
12 o más
1%
7 61%
8 14.6%
11 11.8%
6 6.7%
$77,264 Vol.
$77,264 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<5
$22,100 Vol.
2%
5
$16,742 Vol.
6%
6
$26,564 Vol.
7%
7
$2,153 Vol.
61%
8
$1,604 Vol.
11%
9
$1,445 Vol.
1%
10
$1,308 Vol.
3%
11
$928 Vol.
12%
12 o más
$4,421 Vol.
1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, producing the current trader consensus around that total. Confirmed departures include Mitch McConnell, Thom Tillis, Joni Ernst, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, Tommy Tuberville, and Alan Armstrong, with announcements spanning September 2025 through March 2026. No additional Republican senators have signaled retirement since the most recent of those statements, and trackers such as Ballotpedia show the count holding steady at seven out of eleven total Senate retirements. With primary filing deadlines still ahead in several states and the general election months away, markets assign lower probability to further exits while pricing in the possibility that one or two more could emerge before November.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
Volumen
$77,264Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, producing the current trader consensus around that total. Confirmed departures include Mitch McConnell, Thom Tillis, Joni Ernst, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, Tommy Tuberville, and Alan Armstrong, with announcements spanning September 2025 through March 2026. No additional Republican senators have signaled retirement since the most recent of those statements, and trackers such as Ballotpedia show the count holding steady at seven out of eleven total Senate retirements. With primary filing deadlines still ahead in several states and the general election months away, markets assign lower probability to further exits while pricing in the possibility that one or two more could emerge before November.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$77,264Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, producing the current trader consensus around that total. Confirmed departures include Mitch McConnell, Thom Tillis, Joni Ernst, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, Tommy Tuberville, and Alan Armstrong, with announcements spanning September 2025 through March 2026. No additional Republican senators have signaled retirement since the most recent of those statements, and trackers such as Ballotpedia show the count holding steady at seven out of eleven total Senate retirements. With primary filing deadlines still ahead in several states and the general election months away, markets assign lower probability to further exits while pricing in the possibility that one or two more could emerge before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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