Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23% for 29°C, 21.5% for 28°C, and 19.5% for 30°C, mirroring divergent forecasts for Wuhan's May 10 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport. CustomWeather projects 29°C under afternoon clouds, while AccuWeather leans toward 32°C with sun through high clouds; this spread stems from disagreements on cloud timing and solar insolation amid southerly warm-air advection in the Yangtze River basin. Early May climatology averages 26-28°C highs, consistent with recent May 8 observations near 26°C, but boundary layer mixing and frontal influences add variability—watch CMA and ECMWF/GFS updates on May 9 for catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 10?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 10?
29°C 40%
28°C 34%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
$13,319 Vol.
$13,319 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
34%
29°C
40%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 34%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
$13,319 Vol.
$13,319 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
34%
29°C
40%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23% for 29°C, 21.5% for 28°C, and 19.5% for 30°C, mirroring divergent forecasts for Wuhan's May 10 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport. CustomWeather projects 29°C under afternoon clouds, while AccuWeather leans toward 32°C with sun through high clouds; this spread stems from disagreements on cloud timing and solar insolation amid southerly warm-air advection in the Yangtze River basin. Early May climatology averages 26-28°C highs, consistent with recent May 8 observations near 26°C, but boundary layer mixing and frontal influences add variability—watch CMA and ECMWF/GFS updates on May 9 for catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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