MetService's latest forecast, issued May 9, projects a 17°C daytime high at Wellington International Airport on May 10 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer maritime air, mostly fine skies after possible morning showers, and overnight lows near 8°C—aligning closely with the market's near-even split favoring 18°C (43.5%) over 17°C (37.5%). Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows a tight 17–18°C cluster, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover extent suppressing highs versus sustained northerlies and solar heating pushing toward 18°C under partial clearing. Historical May precedents under similar wind regimes average 15–16°C but allow 18°C outliers; watch overnight updates for refined convective outlooks as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
18°C 51%
17°C 31%
19°C 13%
16°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$42,439 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,439 Vol.
10 may 2026
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
31%
18°C
51%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
2%
18°C 51%
17°C 31%
19°C 13%
16°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$42,439 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,439 Vol.
10 may 2026
15°C
$3,153 Vol.
1%
16°C
$3,082 Vol.
4%
17°C
$3,387 Vol.
31%
18°C
$1,668 Vol.
51%
19°C
$2,145 Vol.
13%
20°C or higher
$6,138 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued May 9, projects a 17°C daytime high at Wellington International Airport on May 10 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer maritime air, mostly fine skies after possible morning showers, and overnight lows near 8°C—aligning closely with the market's near-even split favoring 18°C (43.5%) over 17°C (37.5%). Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows a tight 17–18°C cluster, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover extent suppressing highs versus sustained northerlies and solar heating pushing toward 18°C under partial clearing. Historical May precedents under similar wind regimes average 15–16°C but allow 18°C outliers; watch overnight updates for refined convective outlooks as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$42,439Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued May 9, projects a 17°C daytime high at Wellington International Airport on May 10 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer maritime air, mostly fine skies after possible morning showers, and overnight lows near 8°C—aligning closely with the market's near-even split favoring 18°C (43.5%) over 17°C (37.5%). Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows a tight 17–18°C cluster, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover extent suppressing highs versus sustained northerlies and solar heating pushing toward 18°C under partial clearing. Historical May precedents under similar wind regimes average 15–16°C but allow 18°C outliers; watch overnight updates for refined convective outlooks as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$42,439Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued May 9, projects a 17°C daytime high at Wellington International Airport on May 10 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer maritime air, mostly fine skies after possible morning showers, and overnight lows near 8°C—aligning closely with the market's near-even split favoring 18°C (43.5%) over 17°C (37.5%). Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows a tight 17–18°C cluster, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover extent suppressing highs versus sustained northerlies and solar heating pushing toward 18°C under partial clearing. Historical May precedents under similar wind regimes average 15–16°C but allow 18°C outliers; watch overnight updates for refined convective outlooks as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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