Traders assign nearly equal weight to 28°C and 29°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15 because short-range forecast models cluster around this narrow range amid typical early-summer conditions. Regional guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates daytime maxima near 27.8–28.9°C under mostly sunny skies, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that often cap afternoon peaks. Minor differences between outcomes hinge on subtle factors including wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development that could shave 1°C from the maximum. With June climatological averages near 29–30°C and no strong anomalous ridge or heat advection currently forecast, the tight spread reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed high rather than divergent large-scale drivers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 45%
28°C 38%
27°C 5.5%
30°C 4.9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
38%
29°C
45%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 38%
27°C 5.5%
30°C 4.9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
38%
29°C
45%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to 28°C and 29°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15 because short-range forecast models cluster around this narrow range amid typical early-summer conditions. Regional guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates daytime maxima near 27.8–28.9°C under mostly sunny skies, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that often cap afternoon peaks. Minor differences between outcomes hinge on subtle factors including wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development that could shave 1°C from the maximum. With June climatological averages near 29–30°C and no strong anomalous ridge or heat advection currently forecast, the tight spread reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed high rather than divergent large-scale drivers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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