Current ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on June 16, 2026, favor a daily maximum of 29–30°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies, with limited model spread around seasonal norms. June climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C that rise gradually through the month, and recent model runs indicate no significant synoptic features or marine-layer changes likely to drive deviations. This consensus underpins the 38.5% implied probability on 30°C and 26% on 29°C, while lower odds on 31°C+ reflect the modest upside potential in warming scenarios. Updated NWP guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine these near-term probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 44%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
32°C 5.7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
26%
30°C
44%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
32°C 5.7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
26%
30°C
44%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on June 16, 2026, favor a daily maximum of 29–30°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies, with limited model spread around seasonal norms. June climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C that rise gradually through the month, and recent model runs indicate no significant synoptic features or marine-layer changes likely to drive deviations. This consensus underpins the 38.5% implied probability on 30°C and 26% on 29°C, while lower odds on 31°C+ reflect the modest upside potential in warming scenarios. Updated NWP guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine these near-term probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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