Current short-range model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with limited spread toward 34°C under strengthening high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating in the city’s continental climate regime. This aligns with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 33°C, while the modest weighting on 34°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Climatological baselines for mid-June average near 28–29°C, so the projected anomaly stems from a persistent ridge suppressing cloud cover and advection of warmer air masses. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 44%
34°C 29%
32°C 20%
35°C 7.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
44%
34°C
29%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 29%
32°C 20%
35°C 7.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
30°C or below
$427 Vol.
1%
31°C
$733 Vol.
2%
32°C
$488 Vol.
20%
33°C
$472 Vol.
44%
34°C
$300 Vol.
29%
35°C
$522 Vol.
8%
36°C
$281 Vol.
1%
37°C
$860 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with limited spread toward 34°C under strengthening high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating in the city’s continental climate regime. This aligns with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 33°C, while the modest weighting on 34°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Climatological baselines for mid-June average near 28–29°C, so the projected anomaly stems from a persistent ridge suppressing cloud cover and advection of warmer air masses. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$5,308Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with limited spread toward 34°C under strengthening high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating in the city’s continental climate regime. This aligns with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 33°C, while the modest weighting on 34°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Climatological baselines for mid-June average near 28–29°C, so the projected anomaly stems from a persistent ridge suppressing cloud cover and advection of warmer air masses. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,308Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with limited spread toward 34°C under strengthening high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating in the city’s continental climate regime. This aligns with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 33°C, while the modest weighting on 34°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Climatological baselines for mid-June average near 28–29°C, so the projected anomaly stems from a persistent ridge suppressing cloud cover and advection of warmer air masses. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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