Current forecasts from agencies and meteorological services consistently project a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-June climatology in the region, where average highs range 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected, as sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas moderate extremes. Only an unanticipated shift in steering flow or localized convective activity could push readings to 27°C or higher, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such change before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$55,302 Vol.
$55,302 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$55,302 Vol.
$55,302 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
$6,340 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,408 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,940 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,702 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,703 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12,367 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,920 Vol.
100%
27°C
$3,964 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,847 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies and meteorological services consistently project a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-June climatology in the region, where average highs range 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected, as sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas moderate extremes. Only an unanticipated shift in steering flow or localized convective activity could push readings to 27°C or higher, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$55,302Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies and meteorological services consistently project a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-June climatology in the region, where average highs range 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected, as sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas moderate extremes. Only an unanticipated shift in steering flow or localized convective activity could push readings to 27°C or higher, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55,302Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies and meteorological services consistently project a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-June climatology in the region, where average highs range 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected, as sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas moderate extremes. Only an unanticipated shift in steering flow or localized convective activity could push readings to 27°C or higher, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such change before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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