Forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service centers on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Tel Aviv on June 15, driven by light westerly flow and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze that caps afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies. Typical early-summer conditions feature average highs near 28–30°C, with model runs showing minor spreads tied to exact sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing. This produces closely matched market-implied odds, with 29°C edging ahead at 46% and 28°C at 37%, reflecting traders’ assessment of small forecast uncertainties around local coastal influences rather than broader synoptic shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 47%
28°C 36%
27°C 5.5%
30°C 4.9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
36%
29°C
47%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 36%
27°C 5.5%
30°C 4.9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
36%
29°C
47%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service centers on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Tel Aviv on June 15, driven by light westerly flow and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze that caps afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies. Typical early-summer conditions feature average highs near 28–30°C, with model runs showing minor spreads tied to exact sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing. This produces closely matched market-implied odds, with 29°C edging ahead at 46% and 28°C at 37%, reflecting traders’ assessment of small forecast uncertainties around local coastal influences rather than broader synoptic shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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