Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de junio?
26°C 99.8%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 Vol.
$78,606 Vol.
14 jun 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 99.8%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 Vol.
$78,606 Vol.
14 jun 2026
22°C o menos
$2,923 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,108 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,295 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,586 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14,472 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,049 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$18,740 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,709 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$1,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$78,606Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$78,606Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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