Current forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models converge on a daily maximum of 30°C for Tel Aviv on June 14, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions, abundant sunshine, and typical westerly flow that allows moderate heating while the Mediterranean sea breeze limits further rises. This aligns closely with June climatological averages of 29–30°C for the coastal plain and explains the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Minor upside risk remains if an unexpected easterly component weakens the sea breeze or if insolation exceeds model assumptions, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier breeze onset could cap the high at 28–29°C. The Israel Meteorological Service’s official daily maximum will serve as the resolution source once the observation period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,540 Vol.
$33,540 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,540 Vol.
$33,540 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models converge on a daily maximum of 30°C for Tel Aviv on June 14, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions, abundant sunshine, and typical westerly flow that allows moderate heating while the Mediterranean sea breeze limits further rises. This aligns closely with June climatological averages of 29–30°C for the coastal plain and explains the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Minor upside risk remains if an unexpected easterly component weakens the sea breeze or if insolation exceeds model assumptions, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier breeze onset could cap the high at 28–29°C. The Israel Meteorological Service’s official daily maximum will serve as the resolution source once the observation period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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