Recent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C in Amsterdam on June 14 under overcast skies, light showers, and northwest winds around 20 km/h. These conditions align with surface observations and limit solar heating, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for 17°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages, while modest winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Clearer intervals or reduced shower activity could allow brief warming toward 18°C or higher, though current model consensus and ongoing observations make substantial upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$57,108 Vol.
$57,108 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$57,108 Vol.
$57,108 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C in Amsterdam on June 14 under overcast skies, light showers, and northwest winds around 20 km/h. These conditions align with surface observations and limit solar heating, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for 17°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages, while modest winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Clearer intervals or reduced shower activity could allow brief warming toward 18°C or higher, though current model consensus and ongoing observations make substantial upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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