Current MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 46%
13°C 26%
11°C 25%
14°C 3.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
25%
12°C
46%
13°C
26%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 46%
13°C 26%
11°C 25%
14°C 3.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
7°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$87 Vol.
1%
10°C
$161 Vol.
2%
11°C
$653 Vol.
25%
12°C
$535 Vol.
46%
13°C
$1,134 Vol.
26%
14°C
$2,302 Vol.
4%
15°C
$1,709 Vol.
1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$6,990Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,990Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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