Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights a marginal warming trend driven by southwesterly flow of continental air from inland Shandong, tempered by Yellow Sea marine influence, positioning Qingdao's June 16 peak near the 27–28°C threshold. Subtle variations in 500 hPa geopotential heights and East Asian monsoon front positioning create the tight market split, as stronger onshore breezes or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 27°C while clearer skies or reduced marine advection favor 28°C. Historical June averages of 24°C provide baseline context, but short-term ensemble spreads in regional models introduce the observed uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 35%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
29°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
35%
28°C
34%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 35%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
29°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
35%
28°C
34%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights a marginal warming trend driven by southwesterly flow of continental air from inland Shandong, tempered by Yellow Sea marine influence, positioning Qingdao's June 16 peak near the 27–28°C threshold. Subtle variations in 500 hPa geopotential heights and East Asian monsoon front positioning create the tight market split, as stronger onshore breezes or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 27°C while clearer skies or reduced marine advection favor 28°C. Historical June averages of 24°C provide baseline context, but short-term ensemble spreads in regional models introduce the observed uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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