Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the market's leading 35% implied probability. Mid-June climatology for the subtropical monsoon region shows typical highs of 30–32°C amid rising seasonal warmth, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to allow modest daytime heating. Small differences among 31–33°C outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flows, and potential thin high-cloud variations that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 19%
34°C 8.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
28%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 19%
34°C 8.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
27°C or below
$432 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$625 Vol.
1%
30°C
$113 Vol.
4%
31°C
$160 Vol.
19%
32°C
$217 Vol.
35%
33°C
$269 Vol.
28%
34°C
$43 Vol.
9%
35°C
$221 Vol.
1%
36°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the market's leading 35% implied probability. Mid-June climatology for the subtropical monsoon region shows typical highs of 30–32°C amid rising seasonal warmth, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to allow modest daytime heating. Small differences among 31–33°C outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flows, and potential thin high-cloud variations that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$2,510Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the market's leading 35% implied probability. Mid-June climatology for the subtropical monsoon region shows typical highs of 30–32°C amid rising seasonal warmth, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to allow modest daytime heating. Small differences among 31–33°C outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flows, and potential thin high-cloud variations that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,510Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the market's leading 35% implied probability. Mid-June climatology for the subtropical monsoon region shows typical highs of 30–32°C amid rising seasonal warmth, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to allow modest daytime heating. Small differences among 31–33°C outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flows, and potential thin high-cloud variations that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes