Tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C reflects the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei's May 10 high of up to 28°C under persistent cloudy skies, following cool recent days with May 8 at 24–27°C and May 9 at 21–23°C due to Meiyu-season showers and southerly moisture flows. Differentiating 28°C as the trader favorite are ensemble projections from ECMWF and GFS models indicating potential afternoon partial clearing to enhance diurnal heating and urban heat island amplification in the Taipei basin, versus 27°C if overcast suppresses solar insolation or late showers cool surface temperatures. Updated CWA observations and model runs expected overnight could shift the balance ahead of official station resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 10?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?
28°C 28%
27°C 24%
29°C 23%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
$14,107 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,107 Vol.
10 may 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
24%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 28%
27°C 24%
29°C 23%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
$14,107 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,107 Vol.
10 may 2026
23°C or below
$2,071 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,422 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,388 Vol.
2%
26°C
$604 Vol.
15%
27°C
$268 Vol.
24%
28°C
$697 Vol.
28%
29°C
$548 Vol.
25%
30°C
$260 Vol.
6%
31°C
$751 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,522 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$3,668 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C reflects the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei's May 10 high of up to 28°C under persistent cloudy skies, following cool recent days with May 8 at 24–27°C and May 9 at 21–23°C due to Meiyu-season showers and southerly moisture flows. Differentiating 28°C as the trader favorite are ensemble projections from ECMWF and GFS models indicating potential afternoon partial clearing to enhance diurnal heating and urban heat island amplification in the Taipei basin, versus 27°C if overcast suppresses solar insolation or late showers cool surface temperatures. Updated CWA observations and model runs expected overnight could shift the balance ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$14,107Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C reflects the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei's May 10 high of up to 28°C under persistent cloudy skies, following cool recent days with May 8 at 24–27°C and May 9 at 21–23°C due to Meiyu-season showers and southerly moisture flows. Differentiating 28°C as the trader favorite are ensemble projections from ECMWF and GFS models indicating potential afternoon partial clearing to enhance diurnal heating and urban heat island amplification in the Taipei basin, versus 27°C if overcast suppresses solar insolation or late showers cool surface temperatures. Updated CWA observations and model runs expected overnight could shift the balance ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,107Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C reflects the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei's May 10 high of up to 28°C under persistent cloudy skies, following cool recent days with May 8 at 24–27°C and May 9 at 21–23°C due to Meiyu-season showers and southerly moisture flows. Differentiating 28°C as the trader favorite are ensemble projections from ECMWF and GFS models indicating potential afternoon partial clearing to enhance diurnal heating and urban heat island amplification in the Taipei basin, versus 27°C if overcast suppresses solar insolation or late showers cool surface temperatures. Updated CWA observations and model runs expected overnight could shift the balance ahead of official station resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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