BMKG's latest forecast issued May 9 projects partly cloudy conditions over DKI Jakarta on May 10 with maximum temperatures reaching 33°C in southern and eastern districts like Jakarta Selatan and Timur, while central areas top at 32°C, driving trader sentiment to closely split implied probabilities between 34°C (49.5%) and 33°C (42.5%). This tight contest reflects inherent uncertainty in afternoon peak heating amid dry-season solar radiation, high humidity (55–97%), and urban heat island effects that often push actual station readings 1°C above projections—Jakarta's May climatological average high is 32°C, with frequent 33–34°C outcomes. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing, which could suppress peaks at 33°C, versus extended clear intervals favoring 34°C; model consensus from global runs like ECMWF aligns near 33°C, but final observations from official BMKG stations will resolve post-midnight May 11.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 10?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 10?
33°C 49%
34°C 41%
32°C 7.4%
35°C 4.8%
$26,670 Vol.
$26,670 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
49%
34°C
41%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
34°C 41%
32°C 7.4%
35°C 4.8%
$26,670 Vol.
$26,670 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
49%
34°C
41%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest forecast issued May 9 projects partly cloudy conditions over DKI Jakarta on May 10 with maximum temperatures reaching 33°C in southern and eastern districts like Jakarta Selatan and Timur, while central areas top at 32°C, driving trader sentiment to closely split implied probabilities between 34°C (49.5%) and 33°C (42.5%). This tight contest reflects inherent uncertainty in afternoon peak heating amid dry-season solar radiation, high humidity (55–97%), and urban heat island effects that often push actual station readings 1°C above projections—Jakarta's May climatological average high is 32°C, with frequent 33–34°C outcomes. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing, which could suppress peaks at 33°C, versus extended clear intervals favoring 34°C; model consensus from global runs like ECMWF aligns near 33°C, but final observations from official BMKG stations will resolve post-midnight May 11.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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