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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?

¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?

¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?

27°C 61%

26°C 20%

28°C 15%

29°C o más 5.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$44,230 Vol.

27°C 61%

26°C 20%

28°C 15%

29°C o más 5.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$44,230 Vol.

19°C o menos

$2,972 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$1,253 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$2,722 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$1,494 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$2,541 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$14,266 Vol.

1%

25°C

$3,841 Vol.

5%

26°C

$5,845 Vol.

20%

27°C

$3,340 Vol.

61%

28°C

$2,688 Vol.

15%

29°C o más

$3,284 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, issued at 19:50 HKT on May 9, 2026, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 10 amid mainly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, moderate easterly winds (force 3 to 4, occasionally force 5 offshore), and 70–90% humidity, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 58.5% implied probability. This aligns with a moderating easterly airstream over Guangdong's coast under an aloft anticyclone, limiting daytime heating despite low rainfall odds (<30%). Current May 9 observations show 24°C at 7 p.m. HKT with 81% relative humidity, consistent with recent cloudy conditions capping highs below May's 28–29°C climatological average. Sunny breaks could nudge toward 28°C (14.5%), while denser clouds favor 26°C (21%); next HKO update at 11:30 HKT May 10 may refine model consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,230
Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, issued at 19:50 HKT on May 9, 2026, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 10 amid mainly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, moderate easterly winds (force 3 to 4, occasionally force 5 offshore), and 70–90% humidity, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 58.5% implied probability. This aligns with a moderating easterly airstream over Guangdong's coast under an aloft anticyclone, limiting daytime heating despite low rainfall odds (<30%). Current May 9 observations show 24°C at 7 p.m. HKT with 81% relative humidity, consistent with recent cloudy conditions capping highs below May's 28–29°C climatological average. Sunny breaks could nudge toward 28°C (14.5%), while denser clouds favor 26°C (21%); next HKO update at 11:30 HKT May 10 may refine model consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,230
Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "27°C" con 61%, seguido de "26°C" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?" ha generado $44.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 8, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?" es "27°C" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "26°C" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.