Trader sentiment favors 68°F or higher at 74% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 10, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a rebound from an early-May snowstorm that dumped 4-10 inches across the region, leaving monthly averages 2.7°F below normal. Recent model runs from NOAA ensembles show tight consensus around 68-72°F highs under clear skies, southwest winds of 7-14 mph, and an upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic warming at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. The 21% odds on 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, with climatological May 10 norms near 69°F providing historical context. Watch the 4 p.m. MDT NWS Boulder update for refined guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 10?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?
68°F or higher 72%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 6.0%
62-63°F 1.6%
$25,036 Vol.
$25,036 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
22%
68°F or higher
72%
68°F or higher 72%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 6.0%
62-63°F 1.6%
$25,036 Vol.
$25,036 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
22%
68°F or higher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 68°F or higher at 74% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 10, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a rebound from an early-May snowstorm that dumped 4-10 inches across the region, leaving monthly averages 2.7°F below normal. Recent model runs from NOAA ensembles show tight consensus around 68-72°F highs under clear skies, southwest winds of 7-14 mph, and an upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic warming at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. The 21% odds on 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, with climatological May 10 norms near 69°F providing historical context. Watch the 4 p.m. MDT NWS Boulder update for refined guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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