Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 31–33°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 10, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a transition from recent cloudy, rainy conditions—May 8 highs near 24°C—to clearer skies under building high pressure. Differentiating factors include model divergences on afternoon cloud cover persistence, southerly winds enhancing moisture influx versus drier subsidence favoring extra heating, and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Typical early-May subtropical monsoon patterns average 27°C highs, but current upper-air ridging boosts potential; new China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through May 9 could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 10?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 10?
32°C 31%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
$16,072 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,072 Vol.
10 may 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
31%
33°C
20%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 31%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
$16,072 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,072 Vol.
10 may 2026
26°C or below
$4,957 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,532 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,735 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,390 Vol.
6%
30°C
$848 Vol.
11%
31°C
$387 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,234 Vol.
31%
33°C
$801 Vol.
20%
34°C
$2,006 Vol.
3%
35°C
$727 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 31–33°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 10, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a transition from recent cloudy, rainy conditions—May 8 highs near 24°C—to clearer skies under building high pressure. Differentiating factors include model divergences on afternoon cloud cover persistence, southerly winds enhancing moisture influx versus drier subsidence favoring extra heating, and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Typical early-May subtropical monsoon patterns average 27°C highs, but current upper-air ridging boosts potential; new China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through May 9 could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$16,072Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 31–33°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 10, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a transition from recent cloudy, rainy conditions—May 8 highs near 24°C—to clearer skies under building high pressure. Differentiating factors include model divergences on afternoon cloud cover persistence, southerly winds enhancing moisture influx versus drier subsidence favoring extra heating, and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Typical early-May subtropical monsoon patterns average 27°C highs, but current upper-air ridging boosts potential; new China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through May 9 could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,072Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 31–33°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 10, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak daytime highs in this range amid a transition from recent cloudy, rainy conditions—May 8 highs near 24°C—to clearer skies under building high pressure. Differentiating factors include model divergences on afternoon cloud cover persistence, southerly winds enhancing moisture influx versus drier subsidence favoring extra heating, and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. Typical early-May subtropical monsoon patterns average 27°C highs, but current upper-air ridging boosts potential; new China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through May 9 could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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