Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 22°C on May 10, with nearby outcomes at 21°C (23%) and 23°C (23.5%), reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance, which project peak daytime highs in the 21–23°C range under stable continental high-pressure influence. Recent observations—21°C high on May 9 and 22°C on May 8—reinforce this positioning after cooler early-May readings around 19°C or below, driven by a departing weak cold front and typical spring diurnal heating in Ankara's semi-arid steppe climate. Inherent forecast uncertainty (±1–2°C) stems from model ensemble spread and potential cloud cover variations; watch MGM's evening update and overnight 00z ECMWF run for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, aligning with current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
22°C 43%
23°C 23%
21°C 22%
20°C 7%
NUEVO
$26,342 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,342 Vol.
10 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
22%
22°C
43%
23°C
23%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 23%
21°C 22%
20°C 7%
NUEVO
$26,342 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,342 Vol.
10 may 2026
17°C or below
$2,835 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,947 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,648 Vol.
2%
20°C
$4,676 Vol.
7%
21°C
$2,810 Vol.
22%
22°C
$1,060 Vol.
43%
23°C
$1,636 Vol.
23%
24°C
$1,661 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,249 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$3,512 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 22°C on May 10, with nearby outcomes at 21°C (23%) and 23°C (23.5%), reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance, which project peak daytime highs in the 21–23°C range under stable continental high-pressure influence. Recent observations—21°C high on May 9 and 22°C on May 8—reinforce this positioning after cooler early-May readings around 19°C or below, driven by a departing weak cold front and typical spring diurnal heating in Ankara's semi-arid steppe climate. Inherent forecast uncertainty (±1–2°C) stems from model ensemble spread and potential cloud cover variations; watch MGM's evening update and overnight 00z ECMWF run for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, aligning with current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$26,342Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 22°C on May 10, with nearby outcomes at 21°C (23%) and 23°C (23.5%), reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance, which project peak daytime highs in the 21–23°C range under stable continental high-pressure influence. Recent observations—21°C high on May 9 and 22°C on May 8—reinforce this positioning after cooler early-May readings around 19°C or below, driven by a departing weak cold front and typical spring diurnal heating in Ankara's semi-arid steppe climate. Inherent forecast uncertainty (±1–2°C) stems from model ensemble spread and potential cloud cover variations; watch MGM's evening update and overnight 00z ECMWF run for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, aligning with current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,342Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 22°C on May 10, with nearby outcomes at 21°C (23%) and 23°C (23.5%), reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance, which project peak daytime highs in the 21–23°C range under stable continental high-pressure influence. Recent observations—21°C high on May 9 and 22°C on May 8—reinforce this positioning after cooler early-May readings around 19°C or below, driven by a departing weak cold front and typical spring diurnal heating in Ankara's semi-arid steppe climate. Inherent forecast uncertainty (±1–2°C) stems from model ensemble spread and potential cloud cover variations; watch MGM's evening update and overnight 00z ECMWF run for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, aligning with current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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