Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 86.5% in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election, driven by incumbent Governor Josh Green's solid 56% approval rating and widespread respect for his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state that hasn't elected a Republican governor since Linda Lingle's 2002 win. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance, including supermajorities in the legislature, reinforces this positioning amid ongoing candidate filings—over 260 aspirants have pulled papers since February 2, with deadlines through June 2. No recent polls or scandals have disrupted Green's path to renomination in the August 8 primary, setting up a likely general election rout on November 3 barring unforeseen shifts like a strong GOP primary contender emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái
Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
90%
Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$2,824 Vol.
90%
Republicano
$2,832 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 86.5% in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election, driven by incumbent Governor Josh Green's solid 56% approval rating and widespread respect for his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state that hasn't elected a Republican governor since Linda Lingle's 2002 win. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance, including supermajorities in the legislature, reinforces this positioning amid ongoing candidate filings—over 260 aspirants have pulled papers since February 2, with deadlines through June 2. No recent polls or scandals have disrupted Green's path to renomination in the August 8 primary, setting up a likely general election rout on November 3 barring unforeseen shifts like a strong GOP primary contender emerging.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$5,655Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 86.5% in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election, driven by incumbent Governor Josh Green's solid 56% approval rating and widespread respect for his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state that hasn't elected a Republican governor since Linda Lingle's 2002 win. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance, including supermajorities in the legislature, reinforces this positioning amid ongoing candidate filings—over 260 aspirants have pulled papers since February 2, with deadlines through June 2. No recent polls or scandals have disrupted Green's path to renomination in the August 8 primary, setting up a likely general election rout on November 3 barring unforeseen shifts like a strong GOP primary contender emerging.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$5,655Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 86.5% in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election, driven by incumbent Governor Josh Green's solid 56% approval rating and widespread respect for his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state that hasn't elected a Republican governor since Linda Lingle's 2002 win. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance, including supermajorities in the legislature, reinforces this positioning amid ongoing candidate filings—over 260 aspirants have pulled papers since February 2, with deadlines through June 2. No recent polls or scandals have disrupted Green's path to renomination in the August 8 primary, setting up a likely general election rout on November 3 barring unforeseen shifts like a strong GOP primary contender emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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