Polymarket traders price an 80.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady policy stance amid resurgent inflation pressures. The April 28-29 meeting held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% for the third straight session, following March CPI's 3.3% year-over-year rise—the hottest since May 2024—fueled by war-related energy shocks. The March dot plot projects a median 3.4% funds rate by year-end, signaling modest easing rather than tightening, with CME FedWatch futures aligning on steady-to-lower path amid softening labor data. Key catalysts include upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and June FOMC, where hotter prints could test consensus but face high barriers to reversal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$977,038 Vol.
$977,038 Vol.
9 dic 2026
Sí
$977,038 Vol.
$977,038 Vol.
9 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price an 80.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady policy stance amid resurgent inflation pressures. The April 28-29 meeting held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% for the third straight session, following March CPI's 3.3% year-over-year rise—the hottest since May 2024—fueled by war-related energy shocks. The March dot plot projects a median 3.4% funds rate by year-end, signaling modest easing rather than tightening, with CME FedWatch futures aligning on steady-to-lower path amid softening labor data. Key catalysts include upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and June FOMC, where hotter prints could test consensus but face high barriers to reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$977,038Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price an 80.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady policy stance amid resurgent inflation pressures. The April 28-29 meeting held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% for the third straight session, following March CPI's 3.3% year-over-year rise—the hottest since May 2024—fueled by war-related energy shocks. The March dot plot projects a median 3.4% funds rate by year-end, signaling modest easing rather than tightening, with CME FedWatch futures aligning on steady-to-lower path amid softening labor data. Key catalysts include upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and June FOMC, where hotter prints could test consensus but face high barriers to reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$977,038Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price an 80.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's steady policy stance amid resurgent inflation pressures. The April 28-29 meeting held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% for the third straight session, following March CPI's 3.3% year-over-year rise—the hottest since May 2024—fueled by war-related energy shocks. The March dot plot projects a median 3.4% funds rate by year-end, signaling modest easing rather than tightening, with CME FedWatch futures aligning on steady-to-lower path amid softening labor data. Key catalysts include upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and June FOMC, where hotter prints could test consensus but face high barriers to reversal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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