Colorado's entrenched Democratic advantage in gubernatorial races—no Republican winner since 2002—drives trader consensus toward a 91.8% implied probability for a Democratic victor in the open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Jared Polis, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent GOP state assembly disarray on April 11, including ballot overcounts and delayed results that advanced lesser-known Scott Bottoms and Victor Marx over moderates like Barbara Kirkmeyer, has deepened perceptions of Republican infighting. Democrats' competitive primary between fundraising leaders Attorney General Phil Weiser (rising in Colorado Pols' Big Line) and U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet remains strong ahead of June 30 primaries, with a July 2025 poll showing generic Democrats ahead 50-38. Major scandals, nominee gaffes, or a national GOP wave could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Colorado
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Colorado
$10,907 Vol.
$10,907 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
92%
Republicano
8%
$10,907 Vol.
$10,907 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$5,927 Vol.
92%
Republicano
$4,981 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Colorado's entrenched Democratic advantage in gubernatorial races—no Republican winner since 2002—drives trader consensus toward a 91.8% implied probability for a Democratic victor in the open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Jared Polis, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent GOP state assembly disarray on April 11, including ballot overcounts and delayed results that advanced lesser-known Scott Bottoms and Victor Marx over moderates like Barbara Kirkmeyer, has deepened perceptions of Republican infighting. Democrats' competitive primary between fundraising leaders Attorney General Phil Weiser (rising in Colorado Pols' Big Line) and U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet remains strong ahead of June 30 primaries, with a July 2025 poll showing generic Democrats ahead 50-38. Major scandals, nominee gaffes, or a national GOP wave could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$10,907Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Colorado's entrenched Democratic advantage in gubernatorial races—no Republican winner since 2002—drives trader consensus toward a 91.8% implied probability for a Democratic victor in the open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Jared Polis, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent GOP state assembly disarray on April 11, including ballot overcounts and delayed results that advanced lesser-known Scott Bottoms and Victor Marx over moderates like Barbara Kirkmeyer, has deepened perceptions of Republican infighting. Democrats' competitive primary between fundraising leaders Attorney General Phil Weiser (rising in Colorado Pols' Big Line) and U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet remains strong ahead of June 30 primaries, with a July 2025 poll showing generic Democrats ahead 50-38. Major scandals, nominee gaffes, or a national GOP wave could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,907Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's entrenched Democratic advantage in gubernatorial races—no Republican winner since 2002—drives trader consensus toward a 91.8% implied probability for a Democratic victor in the open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Jared Polis, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent GOP state assembly disarray on April 11, including ballot overcounts and delayed results that advanced lesser-known Scott Bottoms and Victor Marx over moderates like Barbara Kirkmeyer, has deepened perceptions of Republican infighting. Democrats' competitive primary between fundraising leaders Attorney General Phil Weiser (rising in Colorado Pols' Big Line) and U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet remains strong ahead of June 30 primaries, with a July 2025 poll showing generic Democrats ahead 50-38. Major scandals, nominee gaffes, or a national GOP wave could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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