Recent outages on June 2 and 3, driven by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, and the new Claude Code platform, reflect Anthropic's ongoing capacity constraints amid surging demand for its large language models. Traders see these infrastructure bottlenecks—similar to the March incident—as likely to recur through June given rapid user growth and competitive pressure from other AI labs. With 9-11 days of downtime now the narrow leader at 38% implied probability, markets highlight how scaling challenges and high-traffic surges continue to differentiate Anthropic's reliability track record from steadier rivals, though quick resolutions and quota resets may limit longer disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado9-11 38%
12+ 31%
6-8 27%
3-5 1.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
0-2
1%
3-5
2%
6-8
27%
9-11
38%
12+
31%
9-11 38%
12+ 31%
6-8 27%
3-5 1.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
0-2
$1,279 Vol.
1%
3-5
$2,189 Vol.
2%
6-8
$968 Vol.
27%
9-11
$644 Vol.
38%
12+
$787 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2 and 3, driven by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, and the new Claude Code platform, reflect Anthropic's ongoing capacity constraints amid surging demand for its large language models. Traders see these infrastructure bottlenecks—similar to the March incident—as likely to recur through June given rapid user growth and competitive pressure from other AI labs. With 9-11 days of downtime now the narrow leader at 38% implied probability, markets highlight how scaling challenges and high-traffic surges continue to differentiate Anthropic's reliability track record from steadier rivals, though quick resolutions and quota resets may limit longer disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$5,866Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2 and 3, driven by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, and the new Claude Code platform, reflect Anthropic's ongoing capacity constraints amid surging demand for its large language models. Traders see these infrastructure bottlenecks—similar to the March incident—as likely to recur through June given rapid user growth and competitive pressure from other AI labs. With 9-11 days of downtime now the narrow leader at 38% implied probability, markets highlight how scaling challenges and high-traffic surges continue to differentiate Anthropic's reliability track record from steadier rivals, though quick resolutions and quota resets may limit longer disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volumen
$5,866Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages on June 2 and 3, driven by elevated error rates across Claude.ai, the API, and the new Claude Code platform, reflect Anthropic's ongoing capacity constraints amid surging demand for its large language models. Traders see these infrastructure bottlenecks—similar to the March incident—as likely to recur through June given rapid user growth and competitive pressure from other AI labs. With 9-11 days of downtime now the narrow leader at 38% implied probability, markets highlight how scaling challenges and high-traffic surges continue to differentiate Anthropic's reliability track record from steadier rivals, though quick resolutions and quota resets may limit longer disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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