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Carney predictions & odds

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Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

27%

April 30

$159 Vol.

$62 Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

100%

Ursula von der Leyen

$2M Vol.

$688K today

$98.3K Liq.

Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

GLYPH

$137K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Carstensz

$30.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Imperial Academy

$105K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Sashi Academy

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

100%

>$600M

$28M Vol.

$6M today

$690K Liq.

318

Ends in 2 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

79%

↑ $272

$227 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$4.0K Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

10%

↑ $292

$33.0K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$614 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

52%

OpenAI / ChatGPT

$24.5K Vol.

$727 Liq.

3

Ends in 2 days

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

2%

↑ 0.16

$12.6K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$34.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: c0kistas vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - Aorus League LATAM Group A

Counter-Strike: c0kistas vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - Aorus League LATAM Group A

100%

R2 Esports Club

$366 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

96%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?

49%

$0 Vol.

$3 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Counter-Strike:  Phantom Academy vs XI Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs XI Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

XI Esport

$966 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

Silver

$38.8K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$319 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Carney.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Carney that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Carney predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.