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App Store predictions & odds

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#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

94%

Shadowrocket

$1.8K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

94%

ChatGPT

$1.1K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

74%

Claude by Anthropic

$69 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

6%

$517 Vol.

$650 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

69%

↑ $288

$7.1K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of May 4 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of May 4 2026?

56%

↑ $284

$218 Vol.

$565 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

122

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

83%

December 31, 2027

$469K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

32

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

56%

$56 billion

$177 Vol.

$38 Liq.

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$318 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?

83%

↑ $390

$9.3K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

77%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

82%

↑ 46

$818K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

49%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What price will Dogecoin hit in May?

What price will Dogecoin hit in May?

52%

↓ 0.10

$802 Vol.

$81.0K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

What price will XRP hit in May?

What price will XRP hit in May?

94%

↑ 1.40

$34.5K Vol.

$204K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

86%

↓ $600

$5.2K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

78%

↓ 500

$109K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

50%

13.6 million

$228 Vol.

$14 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of May 4 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of May 4 2026?

51%

↑ $415

$0 Vol.

$380 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like App Store.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for App Store that lets you track or trade on predictions like “#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on App Store predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.