Democratic Governor Tony Evers' July 2025 announcement that he would not seek a third term created an open-seat race for November 2026, the first since 2010 in the closely divided battleground state. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring candidates such as Mandela Barnes, Francesca Hong, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley contrasts with a narrower Republican contest led by U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent Marquette and TIPP polling shows tight hypothetical general-election matchups near 40-43 percent, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent Democratic gubernatorial performance and primary dynamics more heavily than these indicators when assigning an 80 percent implied probability to a Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
$70,026 Vol.
$70,026 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
80%
Republicano
18%
$70,026 Vol.
$70,026 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$12,670 Vol.
80%
Republicano
$57,356 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Governor Tony Evers' July 2025 announcement that he would not seek a third term created an open-seat race for November 2026, the first since 2010 in the closely divided battleground state. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring candidates such as Mandela Barnes, Francesca Hong, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley contrasts with a narrower Republican contest led by U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent Marquette and TIPP polling shows tight hypothetical general-election matchups near 40-43 percent, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent Democratic gubernatorial performance and primary dynamics more heavily than these indicators when assigning an 80 percent implied probability to a Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$70,026Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Governor Tony Evers' July 2025 announcement that he would not seek a third term created an open-seat race for November 2026, the first since 2010 in the closely divided battleground state. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring candidates such as Mandela Barnes, Francesca Hong, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley contrasts with a narrower Republican contest led by U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent Marquette and TIPP polling shows tight hypothetical general-election matchups near 40-43 percent, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent Democratic gubernatorial performance and primary dynamics more heavily than these indicators when assigning an 80 percent implied probability to a Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$70,026Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Governor Tony Evers' July 2025 announcement that he would not seek a third term created an open-seat race for November 2026, the first since 2010 in the closely divided battleground state. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring candidates such as Mandela Barnes, Francesca Hong, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley contrasts with a narrower Republican contest led by U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent Marquette and TIPP polling shows tight hypothetical general-election matchups near 40-43 percent, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent Democratic gubernatorial performance and primary dynamics more heavily than these indicators when assigning an 80 percent implied probability to a Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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