Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority in the 119th Congress, forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as advancing articles requires a simple majority vote that Democrats lack without significant GOP defections. Recent Democratic filings, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 by Reps. Al Green and John Larson citing President Trump's Iran threats and war powers, generated brief buzz in early April following his ceasefire announcement but gained no procedural traction amid Republican blocks on related resolutions. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality and historical precedent of partisan impeachment failures, pricing "No" at 97.5%. Late-breaking scandals, bipartisan outrage, or unexpected House flips could theoretically shift odds before June 30, though such scenarios remain remote absent major catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$313,081 Vol.
$313,081 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$313,081 Vol.
$313,081 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority in the 119th Congress, forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as advancing articles requires a simple majority vote that Democrats lack without significant GOP defections. Recent Democratic filings, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 by Reps. Al Green and John Larson citing President Trump's Iran threats and war powers, generated brief buzz in early April following his ceasefire announcement but gained no procedural traction amid Republican blocks on related resolutions. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality and historical precedent of partisan impeachment failures, pricing "No" at 97.5%. Late-breaking scandals, bipartisan outrage, or unexpected House flips could theoretically shift odds before June 30, though such scenarios remain remote absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Volume
$313,081End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority in the 119th Congress, forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as advancing articles requires a simple majority vote that Democrats lack without significant GOP defections. Recent Democratic filings, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 by Reps. Al Green and John Larson citing President Trump's Iran threats and war powers, generated brief buzz in early April following his ceasefire announcement but gained no procedural traction amid Republican blocks on related resolutions. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality and historical precedent of partisan impeachment failures, pricing "No" at 97.5%. Late-breaking scandals, bipartisan outrage, or unexpected House flips could theoretically shift odds before June 30, though such scenarios remain remote absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$313,081End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority in the 119th Congress, forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as advancing articles requires a simple majority vote that Democrats lack without significant GOP defections. Recent Democratic filings, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 by Reps. Al Green and John Larson citing President Trump's Iran threats and war powers, generated brief buzz in early April following his ceasefire announcement but gained no procedural traction amid Republican blocks on related resolutions. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality and historical precedent of partisan impeachment failures, pricing "No" at 97.5%. Late-breaking scandals, bipartisan outrage, or unexpected House flips could theoretically shift odds before June 30, though such scenarios remain remote absent major catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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