Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Name: Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Start: 2025-12-10T21:20:35.120Z
End: 2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Primaries

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$189,415 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026

Tom Begich

$11,044 Vol.

91%

Bernadette Wilson

$14,040 Vol.

75%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$2,477 Vol.

44%

Click Bishop

$40,582 Vol.

45%

Matt Claman

$25,167 Vol.

41%

Dave Bronson

$2,244 Vol.

38%

Treg Taylor

$56,245 Vol.

28%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$12,041 Vol.

29%

Matt Heilala

$2,974 Vol.

13%

James Parkin

$1,552 Vol.

13%

Hank Kroll

$443 Vol.

12%

Adam Crum

$4,443 Vol.

Shelley Hughes

$2,215 Vol.

Bruce Walden

$2,094 Vol.

Edna DeVries

$11,853 Vol.

$189,415 Vol.

Tom Begich

$11,044 Vol.

91%

Bernadette Wilson

$14,040 Vol.

75%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$2,477 Vol.

44%

Click Bishop

$40,582 Vol.

45%

Matt Claman

$25,167 Vol.

41%

Dave Bronson

$2,244 Vol.

38%

Treg Taylor

$56,245 Vol.

28%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$12,041 Vol.

29%

Matt Heilala

$2,974 Vol.

13%

James Parkin

$1,552 Vol.

13%

Hank Kroll

$443 Vol.

12%

Adam Crum

$4,443 Vol.

Shelley Hughes

$2,215 Vol.

Bruce Walden

$2,094 Vol.

Edna DeVries

$11,853 Vol.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

37%

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

68%

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

63%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 91%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" has generated $189.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" is "Tom Begich" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 76%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $189.4K traded on “Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 91¢ for "Tom Begich" in the "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 91% chance that "Tom Begich" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 91¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 9¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 18, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

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Frequently Asked Questions

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