Skip to main content
icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Stranger Things: Tales From '85 26%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 26%

BEEF: Season 2 19%

Running Point: Season 2 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Stranger Things: Tales From '85 26%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 26%

BEEF: Season 2 19%

Running Point: Season 2 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

$450 Vol.

26%

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$267 Vol.

26%

BEEF: Season 2

$439 Vol.

19%

Running Point: Season 2

$90 Vol.

13%

Straight to Hell: Season 1

$122 Vol.

9%

Hulk Hogan: Real American

$407 Vol.

5%

Million Dollar Secret: Season 2

$135 Vol.

1%

Man on Fire: Season 1

$0 Vol.

47%

Unchosen

$24 Vol.

33%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Man on Fire: Season 1 leads with a 62% implied probability as its full seven-episode drop today—starring Emmy winner Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in a high-stakes action thriller remake of A.J. Quinnell's novel—sparks massive debut buzz, positive early reviews calling it "competently executed," and strong trailer engagement positioning it to dominate Netflix's US viewing hours this week. Running Point: Season 2 at 23.5% holds momentum from its April 23 release and Kate Hudson's courtside comedy appeal, despite a 43% views drop from Season 1's opener, while true-crime docuseries Should I Marry A Murderer? (22.5%) gains traction with its shocking real-life betrayal story out yesterday. Unchosen fades post its prior week's global #1 (10.4M views), as traders anticipate fresh releases overtaking legacy plays before Sunday's chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,933
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Man on Fire: Season 1 leads with a 62% implied probability as its full seven-episode drop today—starring Emmy winner Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in a high-stakes action thriller remake of A.J. Quinnell's novel—sparks massive debut buzz, positive early reviews calling it "competently executed," and strong trailer engagement positioning it to dominate Netflix's US viewing hours this week. Running Point: Season 2 at 23.5% holds momentum from its April 23 release and Kate Hudson's courtside comedy appeal, despite a 43% views drop from Season 1's opener, while true-crime docuseries Should I Marry A Murderer? (22.5%) gains traction with its shocking real-life betrayal story out yesterday. Unchosen fades post its prior week's global #1 (10.4M views), as traders anticipate fresh releases overtaking legacy plays before Sunday's chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,933
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

42%
icon for Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

42%
icon for Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

87%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 47%, followed by "Unchosen" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Unchosen" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.