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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Jun 16

Jun 16

Office Romance 88%

The Murder of Rachel Nickell 4.0%

Ticket To Paradise (2022) 2.3%

Song Sung Blue 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Office Romance 88%

The Murder of Rachel Nickell 4.0%

Ticket To Paradise (2022) 2.3%

Song Sung Blue 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Office Romance

Office Romance

$214 Vol.

88%

icon for The Murder of Rachel Nickell

The Murder of Rachel Nickell

$218 Vol.

4%

icon for Ticket To Paradise (2022)

Ticket To Paradise (2022)

$107 Vol.

2%

icon for Song Sung Blue

Song Sung Blue

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Piece by Piece

Piece by Piece

$76 Vol.

1%

icon for Poor Things

Poor Things

$205 Vol.

1%

icon for David

David

$324 Vol.

1%

icon for Creed III

Creed III

$258 Vol.

1%

icon for The Crash

The Crash

$189 Vol.

1%

icon for Ladies First

Ladies First

$248 Vol.

1%

icon for GOAT

GOAT

$207 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Office Romance**, the new Jennifer Lopez and Brett Goldstein Netflix original that premiered June 5, dominates current trader sentiment at 87.5% implied probability because it launched to the top of the US Top 10 with 20.9 million views in its first tracked week and has held the #1 spot in daily charts. The raunchy workplace rom-com benefits from JLo’s star power, timely summer release timing, and Netflix’s aggressive promotion as a fresh original, outpacing library titles that typically see quicker drop-offs. Other outcomes clustered around 50% reflect the usual weekly uncertainty in chart movement, while older or lower-profile entries such as *The Murder of Rachel Nickell* (6.2%), *Ticket to Paradise* (2.3%), *Song Sung Blue* (1.9%), *Piece by Piece* (1.2%), and *Poor Things* (1.1%) sit near the bottom because they lack comparable recent momentum or broad audience draw. No major competing originals or viral library surges have emerged in the past week to challenge the frontrunner, though final weekly rankings depend on sustained viewing through the weekend. Traders are pricing in the strong early data and historical patterns of new tentpole releases holding the top US spot in their debut week.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,158
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Office Romance**, the new Jennifer Lopez and Brett Goldstein Netflix original that premiered June 5, dominates current trader sentiment at 87.5% implied probability because it launched to the top of the US Top 10 with 20.9 million views in its first tracked week and has held the #1 spot in daily charts. The raunchy workplace rom-com benefits from JLo’s star power, timely summer release timing, and Netflix’s aggressive promotion as a fresh original, outpacing library titles that typically see quicker drop-offs. Other outcomes clustered around 50% reflect the usual weekly uncertainty in chart movement, while older or lower-profile entries such as *The Murder of Rachel Nickell* (6.2%), *Ticket to Paradise* (2.3%), *Song Sung Blue* (1.9%), *Piece by Piece* (1.2%), and *Poor Things* (1.1%) sit near the bottom because they lack comparable recent momentum or broad audience draw. No major competing originals or viral library surges have emerged in the past week to challenge the frontrunner, though final weekly rankings depend on sustained viewing through the weekend. Traders are pricing in the strong early data and historical patterns of new tentpole releases holding the top US spot in their debut week.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,158
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Office Romance" at 88%, followed by "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Office Romance" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.