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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Jun 17

Jun 17

Michael Jackson: The Verdict 60%

Tony H.: Man of the People 29.6%

Outlast: The Jungle 25%

Sweet Magnolias: Season 5 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael Jackson: The Verdict 60%

Tony H.: Man of the People 29.6%

Outlast: The Jungle 25%

Sweet Magnolias: Season 5 19%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Michael Jackson: The Verdict

Michael Jackson: The Verdict

$71 Vol.

67%

icon for Tony H.: Man of the People

Tony H.: Man of the People

$59 Vol.

30%

icon for Outlast: The Jungle

Outlast: The Jungle

$1 Vol.

25%

icon for Sweet Magnolias: Season 5

Sweet Magnolias: Season 5

$1 Vol.

19%

icon for The Boroughs

The Boroughs

$179 Vol.

3%

icon for Lawmen: Bass Reeves

Lawmen: Bass Reeves

$105 Vol.

2%

icon for The Four Seasons: Season 2

The Four Seasons: Season 2

$109 Vol.

1%

icon for Nemesis

Nemesis

$149 Vol.

1%

icon for Raw (June 8, 2026)

Raw (June 8, 2026)

$69 Vol.

1%

icon for The Witness

The Witness

$101 Vol.

-

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and chart momentum are shaping trader sentiment in this closely contested Netflix top-show market, with Michael Jackson: The Verdict holding a slight edge at 49% implied probability after debuting with 17 million views and strong true-crime interest. The Witness follows closely behind amid steady viewership, while returning titles like Sweet Magnolias Season 5—premiering today—could spark a surge through fan loyalty and promotional push. New entries such as Outlast: The Jungle and Tony Hinchcliffe: Man of the People add volatility, as weekly rankings fluctuate with fresh data drops. Historical patterns show that high-profile docs and timely premieres often overtake established seasons in the final days, leaving room for late momentum shifts before the week locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$845
End Date
Jun 17, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and chart momentum are shaping trader sentiment in this closely contested Netflix top-show market, with Michael Jackson: The Verdict holding a slight edge at 49% implied probability after debuting with 17 million views and strong true-crime interest. The Witness follows closely behind amid steady viewership, while returning titles like Sweet Magnolias Season 5—premiering today—could spark a surge through fan loyalty and promotional push. New entries such as Outlast: The Jungle and Tony Hinchcliffe: Man of the People add volatility, as weekly rankings fluctuate with fresh data drops. Historical patterns show that high-profile docs and timely premieres often overtake established seasons in the final days, leaving room for late momentum shifts before the week locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$845
End Date
Jun 17, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" at 67%, followed by "Tony H.: Man of the People" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tony H.: Man of the People" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.