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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Jun 16

Jun 16

Song Sung Blue 41%

Ticket To Paradise (2022) 25%

The Murder of Rachel Nickell 8%

Office Romance 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Song Sung Blue 41%

Ticket To Paradise (2022) 25%

The Murder of Rachel Nickell 8%

Office Romance 6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Song Sung Blue

Song Sung Blue

$37 Vol.

41%

icon for Ticket To Paradise (2022)

Ticket To Paradise (2022)

$44 Vol.

25%

icon for The Murder of Rachel Nickell

The Murder of Rachel Nickell

$97 Vol.

8%

icon for Office Romance

Office Romance

$161 Vol.

6%

icon for Piece by Piece

Piece by Piece

$86 Vol.

5%

icon for GOAT

GOAT

$51 Vol.

3%

icon for David

David

$87 Vol.

3%

icon for The Crash

The Crash

$130 Vol.

2%

icon for Creed III

Creed III

$124 Vol.

2%

icon for Poor Things

Poor Things

$178 Vol.

1%

icon for Ladies First

Ladies First

$223 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple titles sit in a near-deadlock for the #2 US Netflix spot this week, with trader consensus reflecting rapid shifts in viewing data behind Office Romance’s debut at #1. Library holdovers such as Ticket to Paradise and The Murder of Rachel Nickell retain steady audiences, while Song Sung Blue’s June 13 arrival introduces fresh star-driven momentum from Hugh Jackman and Kate Hudson that could reorder rankings mid-week. Factors like daily viewership velocity, algorithmic promotion, and competition from returning titles create the tight probabilities, leaving room for late surges or drops depending on weekend engagement patterns.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,219
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple titles sit in a near-deadlock for the #2 US Netflix spot this week, with trader consensus reflecting rapid shifts in viewing data behind Office Romance’s debut at #1. Library holdovers such as Ticket to Paradise and The Murder of Rachel Nickell retain steady audiences, while Song Sung Blue’s June 13 arrival introduces fresh star-driven momentum from Hugh Jackman and Kate Hudson that could reorder rankings mid-week. Factors like daily viewership velocity, algorithmic promotion, and competition from returning titles create the tight probabilities, leaving room for late surges or drops depending on weekend engagement patterns.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,219
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Song Sung Blue" at 41%, followed by "Ticket To Paradise (2022)" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Song Sung Blue" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ticket To Paradise (2022)" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.