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¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?

icon for ¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?

¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?

98% probabilidad
Polymarket

$215,425 Vol.

98% probabilidad
Polymarket

$215,425 Vol.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lionel Messi's inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man roster for the 2026 World Cup, combined with consistent recent performances for Inter Miami and the national team, has cemented the overwhelming trader consensus behind a "Yes" outcome at 97.8% implied probability. Coach Lionel Scaloni's public statements affirming Messi's control over his timeline and the veteran's own comments about motivation to compete in what would be a record sixth appearance have reinforced this frontrunner status, aligning with historical patterns of the eight-time Ballon d'Or winner prioritizing major international campaigns. The market reflects skin-in-the-game sentiment that the 38-year-old remains fit enough for the North American tournament this summer. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited but could include a late pre-tournament injury or unforeseen fitness setback, though current form and roster confirmation make such shifts improbable before kickoff.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$215,425
Fecha de finalización
19 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lionel Messi's inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man roster for the 2026 World Cup, combined with consistent recent performances for Inter Miami and the national team, has cemented the overwhelming trader consensus behind a "Yes" outcome at 97.8% implied probability. Coach Lionel Scaloni's public statements affirming Messi's control over his timeline and the veteran's own comments about motivation to compete in what would be a record sixth appearance have reinforced this frontrunner status, aligning with historical patterns of the eight-time Ballon d'Or winner prioritizing major international campaigns. The market reflects skin-in-the-game sentiment that the 38-year-old remains fit enough for the North American tournament this summer. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited but could include a late pre-tournament injury or unforeseen fitness setback, though current form and roster confirmation make such shifts improbable before kickoff.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$215,425
Fecha de finalización
19 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Jugará Lionel Messi en la Copa del Mundo?" con 98%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?" ha generado $215.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 7, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?" es "¿Jugará Lionel Messi en la Copa del Mundo?" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Jugará Lionel Messi en el Mundial?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.