Recent announcements from President Trump and Pakistan’s prime minister indicate negotiators have finalized text for a memorandum of understanding that would formally end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch 60-day talks on Iran’s nuclear program. Mediation by Pakistan, building on the April 2026 ceasefire and subsequent rounds in Geneva and Islamabad, has produced the latest breakthrough, though Iran has not yet issued full public confirmation and final approvals remain pending. A signing ceremony is reportedly scheduled for mid-June in Switzerland. Traders weigh these verified diplomatic signals against the risk of last-minute shifts or delays tied to unresolved nuclear stockpiles and regional security concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$357,369 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
June 15
9%
June 22
85%
June 30
88%
July 31
95%
$357,369 Vol.
June 15
$171,903 Vol.
9%
June 22
$47,716 Vol.
85%
June 30
$87,711 Vol.
88%
July 31
$53,892 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements from President Trump and Pakistan’s prime minister indicate negotiators have finalized text for a memorandum of understanding that would formally end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch 60-day talks on Iran’s nuclear program. Mediation by Pakistan, building on the April 2026 ceasefire and subsequent rounds in Geneva and Islamabad, has produced the latest breakthrough, though Iran has not yet issued full public confirmation and final approvals remain pending. A signing ceremony is reportedly scheduled for mid-June in Switzerland. Traders weigh these verified diplomatic signals against the risk of last-minute shifts or delays tied to unresolved nuclear stockpiles and regional security concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$357,369End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements from President Trump and Pakistan’s prime minister indicate negotiators have finalized text for a memorandum of understanding that would formally end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch 60-day talks on Iran’s nuclear program. Mediation by Pakistan, building on the April 2026 ceasefire and subsequent rounds in Geneva and Islamabad, has produced the latest breakthrough, though Iran has not yet issued full public confirmation and final approvals remain pending. A signing ceremony is reportedly scheduled for mid-June in Switzerland. Traders weigh these verified diplomatic signals against the risk of last-minute shifts or delays tied to unresolved nuclear stockpiles and regional security concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$357,369End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent announcements from President Trump and Pakistan’s prime minister indicate negotiators have finalized text for a memorandum of understanding that would formally end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch 60-day talks on Iran’s nuclear program. Mediation by Pakistan, building on the April 2026 ceasefire and subsequent rounds in Geneva and Islamabad, has produced the latest breakthrough, though Iran has not yet issued full public confirmation and final approvals remain pending. A signing ceremony is reportedly scheduled for mid-June in Switzerland. Traders weigh these verified diplomatic signals against the risk of last-minute shifts or delays tied to unresolved nuclear stockpiles and regional security concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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