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Politics·Primaries

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

Alan Wilson 38%

Pamela Evette 29%

Nancy Mace 23%

Ralph Norman 10.3%

Polymarket

$27,074 Vol.

Alan Wilson 38%

Pamela Evette 29%

Nancy Mace 23%

Ralph Norman 10.3%

Polymarket

$27,074 Vol.

Alan Wilson

$3,763 Vol.

38%

Pamela Evette

$8,919 Vol.

29%

Nancy Mace

$8,833 Vol.

23%

Ralph Norman

$3,068 Vol.

10%

Josh Kimbrell

$2,491 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary favors Attorney General Alan Wilson at 38% implied probability, driven by his narrow lead in the April Starboard Communications poll (20% among likely voters) and dominant first-quarter fundraising exceeding $1 million, positioning him ahead in a fragmented field where no candidate cracks 50% to avoid a runoff on June 9. Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette trails closely at 28.5% buoyed by comparable fundraising but dinged by a fresh controversy over her selection as South Carolina State University's commencement speaker, prompting student protests, while Rep. Nancy Mace holds 22.5% on national name recognition despite slipping in recent surveys amid 26% undecideds. High fragmentation and undecideds sustain the tight contest among top contenders; major endorsements, ad blitzes from cash-rich campaigns, or late polls could spur consolidation and separation before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$27,074
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary favors Attorney General Alan Wilson at 38% implied probability, driven by his narrow lead in the April Starboard Communications poll (20% among likely voters) and dominant first-quarter fundraising exceeding $1 million, positioning him ahead in a fragmented field where no candidate cracks 50% to avoid a runoff on June 9. Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette trails closely at 28.5% buoyed by comparable fundraising but dinged by a fresh controversy over her selection as South Carolina State University's commencement speaker, prompting student protests, while Rep. Nancy Mace holds 22.5% on national name recognition despite slipping in recent surveys amid 26% undecideds. High fragmentation and undecideds sustain the tight contest among top contenders; major endorsements, ad blitzes from cash-rich campaigns, or late polls could spur consolidation and separation before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$27,074
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alan Wilson" at 38%, followed by "Pamela Evette" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $27.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Alan Wilson" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pamela Evette" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.