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Elections·South Korea

Sejong Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Sejong Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·South Korea

Sejong Mayoral Election Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Cho Sangho

Cho Sangho

$4,352 Vol.

95%

icon for Choi Min-ho

Choi Min-ho

$758 Vol.

6%

The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Cho Sangho, the Democratic Party challenger and former Sejong economic deputy mayor, commands trader consensus at 94.4% implied probability following his mid-April primary victory over ex-Mayor Lee Chun-hee, positioning him strongly against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Choi Min-ho ahead of the June 3 local election. Recent polls, including a TJB survey showing Cho at 44.9% versus Choi's 19.7%, underscore voter preference for his administrative experience and pledges on administrative capital completion amid criticisms of the current "ice age" governance. This lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency fatigue and undecided voter leans. Upsets remain possible via scandals, campaign gaffes, unified opposition endorsements, or turnout surges favoring the ruling party incumbent.

The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$5,110
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Cho Sangho, the Democratic Party challenger and former Sejong economic deputy mayor, commands trader consensus at 94.4% implied probability following his mid-April primary victory over ex-Mayor Lee Chun-hee, positioning him strongly against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Choi Min-ho ahead of the June 3 local election. Recent polls, including a TJB survey showing Cho at 44.9% versus Choi's 19.7%, underscore voter preference for his administrative experience and pledges on administrative capital completion amid criticisms of the current "ice age" governance. This lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency fatigue and undecided voter leans. Upsets remain possible via scandals, campaign gaffes, unified opposition endorsements, or turnout surges favoring the ruling party incumbent.

The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$5,110
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sejong Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cho Sangho" at 95%, followed by "Choi Min-ho" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sejong Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sejong Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sejong Mayoral Election Winner" is "Cho Sangho" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Choi Min-ho" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sejong Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.