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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Adam Hamawy 47%

Susan Altman 14%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 12%

Brad Cohen 8.1%

Polymarket

$29,000 Vol.

Adam Hamawy 47%

Susan Altman 14%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 12%

Brad Cohen 8.1%

Polymarket

$29,000 Vol.

Adam Hamawy

$897 Vol.

47%

Susan Altman

$14,370 Vol.

14%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$758 Vol.

12%

Brad Cohen

$1,368 Vol.

8%

Tennille R. McCoy

$4,716 Vol.

15%

Elijah Dixon

$898 Vol.

4%

Matthew Adams

$877 Vol.

3%

Adrian Mapp

$879 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$1,071 Vol.

3%

Michael Anderson

$2,168 Vol.

1%

Raymond Heck

$998 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District open-seat Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus favors trauma surgeon Adam Hamawy at 44.5% implied probability, driven by his leading first-quarter fundraising of $547,000—more than double rivals—and unique profile from volunteering in Gaza hospitals, appealing to progressive voters despite criticism of Israel's military actions. Sue Altman follows at 13%, bolstered by yesterday's endorsement from the New Jersey Working Families Party, her former employer, highlighting her anti-corruption record and support for Medicare-for-All. The fragmented field reflects split county party endorsements, including Middlesex backing Brad Cohen and Mercer ties for Verlina Reynolds-Jackson, with no public polls amid recent candidate forums and low vote-by-mail requests.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,000
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District open-seat Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus favors trauma surgeon Adam Hamawy at 44.5% implied probability, driven by his leading first-quarter fundraising of $547,000—more than double rivals—and unique profile from volunteering in Gaza hospitals, appealing to progressive voters despite criticism of Israel's military actions. Sue Altman follows at 13%, bolstered by yesterday's endorsement from the New Jersey Working Families Party, her former employer, highlighting her anti-corruption record and support for Medicare-for-All. The fragmented field reflects split county party endorsements, including Middlesex backing Brad Cohen and Mercer ties for Verlina Reynolds-Jackson, with no public polls amid recent candidate forums and low vote-by-mail requests.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,000
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamawy" at 47%, followed by "Tennille R. McCoy" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $29K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Adam Hamawy" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tennille R. McCoy" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.