Recent polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey released last week, show challenger Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Governor Dan McKee 45% to 11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with McKee facing 76% disapproval amid concerns over housing and infrastructure. Foulkes' fundraising edge—$1.5 million cash-on-hand after raising over $1 million in Q1—bolsters her position, while House Speaker Joe Shekarchi and Gregory Stevens trail far behind in early surveys. Traders price Foulkes at 70.5% implied probability for the September 9 primary, reflecting polling trends and incumbency vulnerability, ahead of three agreed debates before early voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelena Foulkes 71%
Dan McKee 29%
Gregory Stevens 3.4%
Joe Shekarchi 1.8%
Helena Foulkes
71%
Dan McKee
29%
Gregory Stevens
3%
Joe Shekarchi
2%
Helena Foulkes 71%
Dan McKee 29%
Gregory Stevens 3.4%
Joe Shekarchi 1.8%
Helena Foulkes
71%
Dan McKee
29%
Gregory Stevens
3%
Joe Shekarchi
2%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey released last week, show challenger Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Governor Dan McKee 45% to 11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with McKee facing 76% disapproval amid concerns over housing and infrastructure. Foulkes' fundraising edge—$1.5 million cash-on-hand after raising over $1 million in Q1—bolsters her position, while House Speaker Joe Shekarchi and Gregory Stevens trail far behind in early surveys. Traders price Foulkes at 70.5% implied probability for the September 9 primary, reflecting polling trends and incumbency vulnerability, ahead of three agreed debates before early voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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