Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 97.1% implied probability against Putin and Zelenskyy shaking hands by June 30, driven by stalled diplomacy and ongoing hostilities in the Russo-Ukrainian war. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov recently stated Putin would meet Zelenskyy only to finalize agreements, citing no political will from Kyiv despite Ukraine's push for a summit. Zelenskyy is seeking U.S. clarification on Russia's tactical May 9 ceasefire proposal tied to its Victory Day parade, viewed as a short-term pause amid continued frontline clashes and Russian territorial losses. With no bilateral talks scheduled and irreconcilable demands over troop withdrawal and territorial integrity, a symbolic handshake faces immense barriers; only a sudden de-escalation breakthrough via external mediation could alter odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,226 Vol.
$10,226 Vol.
$10,226 Vol.
$10,226 Vol.
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 97.1% implied probability against Putin and Zelenskyy shaking hands by June 30, driven by stalled diplomacy and ongoing hostilities in the Russo-Ukrainian war. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov recently stated Putin would meet Zelenskyy only to finalize agreements, citing no political will from Kyiv despite Ukraine's push for a summit. Zelenskyy is seeking U.S. clarification on Russia's tactical May 9 ceasefire proposal tied to its Victory Day parade, viewed as a short-term pause amid continued frontline clashes and Russian territorial losses. With no bilateral talks scheduled and irreconcilable demands over troop withdrawal and territorial integrity, a symbolic handshake faces immense barriers; only a sudden de-escalation breakthrough via external mediation could alter odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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