Skip to main content
icon for ¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

icon for ¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

$423,725 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$423,725 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$307,835 Vol.

6%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$115,890 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent corruption investigations targeting Pedro Sánchez’s family members, close allies, and the PSOE party headquarters have intensified domestic pressure on the Spanish prime minister, triggering large-scale opposition protests in Madrid in May 2026 and renewed calls for resignation or early elections. Sánchez has rejected these demands, stating he will complete the legislative term ending in August 2027, while the government explicitly rules out snap elections or a voluntary confidence vote. Opposition efforts to pass a no-confidence motion face structural hurdles, as smaller parliamentary groups have declined to support Vox-backed initiatives amid concerns over far-right influence. Regional electoral setbacks for PSOE, including weak Andalusia results, underscore eroding support, yet Spain’s minority coalition arrangements and the absence of an immediate majority alternative continue to favor continuity absent further parliamentary defections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$423,725
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent corruption investigations targeting Pedro Sánchez’s family members, close allies, and the PSOE party headquarters have intensified domestic pressure on the Spanish prime minister, triggering large-scale opposition protests in Madrid in May 2026 and renewed calls for resignation or early elections. Sánchez has rejected these demands, stating he will complete the legislative term ending in August 2027, while the government explicitly rules out snap elections or a voluntary confidence vote. Opposition efforts to pass a no-confidence motion face structural hurdles, as smaller parliamentary groups have declined to support Vox-backed initiatives amid concerns over far-right influence. Regional electoral setbacks for PSOE, including weak Andalusia results, underscore eroding support, yet Spain’s minority coalition arrangements and the absence of an immediate majority alternative continue to favor continuity absent further parliamentary defections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$423,725
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 32%, seguido de "30 de junio de 2026" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 32¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" ha generado $423.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 3, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 32%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio de 2026" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.