Skip to main content
icon for Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 55%

Jim Priest 24%

Troy Green 13%

Rebekah LaVann 2.4%

Polymarket

$12,510 Vol.

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 55%

Jim Priest 24%

Troy Green 13%

Rebekah LaVann 2.4%

Polymarket

$12,510 Vol.

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

$2,212 Vol.

55%

Jim Priest

$4,285 Vol.

24%

Troy Green

$2,416 Vol.

13%

Rebekah LaVann

$3,597 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas leads Oklahoma Democratic U.S. Senate primary trader odds at 55%, buoyed by her grassroots momentum as a nurse, Chickasaw citizen, and advocate for neurodivergent families, with endorsements from groups like Sally’s List and Disability Community for Democracy drawing progressive support in this low-turnout race. Jim Priest follows at 26%, leveraging his civil rights attorney background and nonprofit CEO experience—including Goodwill Central Oklahoma—plus superior fundraising ($203,000 raised vs. Thomas’s $39,000), yet traders see Thomas better positioned to mobilize the small Democratic primary electorate ahead of the June 16 contest. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the April 3 filing deadline set the field with Troy Green (13.5%) and Rebekah LaVann (2.4%); focus remains on absentee ballots and voter outreach.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,510
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas leads Oklahoma Democratic U.S. Senate primary trader odds at 55%, buoyed by her grassroots momentum as a nurse, Chickasaw citizen, and advocate for neurodivergent families, with endorsements from groups like Sally’s List and Disability Community for Democracy drawing progressive support in this low-turnout race. Jim Priest follows at 26%, leveraging his civil rights attorney background and nonprofit CEO experience—including Goodwill Central Oklahoma—plus superior fundraising ($203,000 raised vs. Thomas’s $39,000), yet traders see Thomas better positioned to mobilize the small Democratic primary electorate ahead of the June 16 contest. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the April 3 filing deadline set the field with Troy Green (13.5%) and Rebekah LaVann (2.4%); focus remains on absentee ballots and voter outreach.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,510
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%
icon for Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

44%
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

49%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 56%, followed by "Jim Priest" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jim Priest" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.