Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 55 percent due to his early November 2025 nomination as the first major candidate and his high-visibility role as IAEA Director General, where he has managed nuclear diplomacy involving Russia, Iran, and Ukraine while maintaining engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Rebeca Grynspan at 29 percent benefits from her position heading UNCTAD and Latin American backing, while Macky Sall at 8.5 percent draws on his experience as Senegal’s former president and African Union chair, and Michelle Bachelet at 6.8 percent leverages her prior service as Chilean president and UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. The April 2026 interactive dialogues in New York allowed all four to present platforms before member states and civil society, with a further June session providing additional visibility, though the process remains in its early nomination and vetting stage ahead of closed Security Council consultations expected later in 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rafael Grossi 55%
Rebeca Grynspan 29%
Macky Sall 8.5%
Michelle Bachelet 6.8%
$122,342 Vol.
$122,342 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Rafael Grossi
55%
Rebeca Grynspan
29%
Macky Sall
9%
Michelle Bachelet
7%
Rafael Grossi 55%
Rebeca Grynspan 29%
Macky Sall 8.5%
Michelle Bachelet 6.8%
$122,342 Vol.
$122,342 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Rafael Grossi
$7,140 Vol.
55%
Rebeca Grynspan
$2,461 Vol.
29%
Macky Sall
$110,258 Vol.
9%
Michelle Bachelet
$2,483 Vol.
7%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 55 percent due to his early November 2025 nomination as the first major candidate and his high-visibility role as IAEA Director General, where he has managed nuclear diplomacy involving Russia, Iran, and Ukraine while maintaining engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Rebeca Grynspan at 29 percent benefits from her position heading UNCTAD and Latin American backing, while Macky Sall at 8.5 percent draws on his experience as Senegal’s former president and African Union chair, and Michelle Bachelet at 6.8 percent leverages her prior service as Chilean president and UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. The April 2026 interactive dialogues in New York allowed all four to present platforms before member states and civil society, with a further June session providing additional visibility, though the process remains in its early nomination and vetting stage ahead of closed Security Council consultations expected later in 2026.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volume
$122,342End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 55 percent due to his early November 2025 nomination as the first major candidate and his high-visibility role as IAEA Director General, where he has managed nuclear diplomacy involving Russia, Iran, and Ukraine while maintaining engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Rebeca Grynspan at 29 percent benefits from her position heading UNCTAD and Latin American backing, while Macky Sall at 8.5 percent draws on his experience as Senegal’s former president and African Union chair, and Michelle Bachelet at 6.8 percent leverages her prior service as Chilean president and UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. The April 2026 interactive dialogues in New York allowed all four to present platforms before member states and civil society, with a further June session providing additional visibility, though the process remains in its early nomination and vetting stage ahead of closed Security Council consultations expected later in 2026.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,342End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 55 percent due to his early November 2025 nomination as the first major candidate and his high-visibility role as IAEA Director General, where he has managed nuclear diplomacy involving Russia, Iran, and Ukraine while maintaining engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Rebeca Grynspan at 29 percent benefits from her position heading UNCTAD and Latin American backing, while Macky Sall at 8.5 percent draws on his experience as Senegal’s former president and African Union chair, and Michelle Bachelet at 6.8 percent leverages her prior service as Chilean president and UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. The April 2026 interactive dialogues in New York allowed all four to present platforms before member states and civil society, with a further June session providing additional visibility, though the process remains in its early nomination and vetting stage ahead of closed Security Council consultations expected later in 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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